Expert prediction
UFC on ESPN: Holloway vs. Allen Predictions: Fight Card, Vegas Odds, and Picks (Apr 15)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- T-Mobile Center in Kansas City will host the next UFC event.
- Max Holloway vs. Arnold Allen is the main event of UFC on ESPN 44.
- Edson Barboza and Billy Quarantillo lock horns in the co-main event.
The UFC is coming to Kansas City this coming weekend with an event titled UFC on ESPN: Holloway vs. Allen. In this post, we’re going to analyze all main card fights, sharing our top betting picks along the way.
Schedule and How to Watch
- Where: T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, Missouri
- When: Saturday, April 15, 2023, at 10 p.m ET
- How to Watch: ESPN/ESPN+
UFC on ESPN 44 Predictions
Max Holloway vs. Arnold Allen
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Max Holloway | |
| Arnold Allen |
Max Holloway is the UFC record holder for the most strikes landed in the history of the promotion with 3,217. This guy is landing 7.24 significant strikes per minute on average, but he also absorbs a lot (4.89). In comparison, Arnold Allen lands 3.40, while absorbing 2.25.
Knowing this, it’s clear how the UFC Kansas City main event is going to look – Holloway will attack, and Allen will defend. And it’s gonna go like that for the full 5 rounds, after which the judges will score Blessed the winner.
Prediction:
Edson Barboza vs. Billy Quarantillo
| Figher | Odds |
|---|---|
| Edson Barboza | |
| Billy Quarantillo |
Edson Barboza is coming off back-to-back losses and is 3-7 in his last 10 fights. However, there is a caveat. Most of his losses happened to elite fights like Khabib Nurmagomedov and Justin Gaethje. His opponent is Billy Quarantillo whose last fight saw him beat Alexander Hernandez by TKO, for which he won the Performance of the Night bonus.
The performance in his last fight is what’s probably made him the favorite against Barboza, but we think the Brazilian has what it takes to stage an upset on Saturday.
Prediction:
Dustin Jacoby vs. Azamat Murzakanov
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Dustin Jacoby | |
| Azamat Murzakanov |
Before losing to Khalil Rountree Jr. by split decision, Dustin Jacoby was undefeated in nine fights. We think he’s going to get back on the winning track on Saturday.
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Sure, it won’t be easy knowing that his opponent Azamat Murzakanov is 12-0. However, most of Murzakanov’s wins happened in smaller promotions like Brave FC and ACB.
Prediction:
Ion Cutelaba vs. Tanner Boser
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Ion Cutelaba | |
| Tanner Boser |
Ion Cutelaba fought three fights last year and lost each of them inside the distance. Are we going to see him lose four fights in a row? We think so, even though Tanner Boser isn’t in great form either. He’s 1-3 in his last four but all of his losses happened by decision (two by a split decision).
Prediction:
Pedro Munhoz vs. Chris Gutierrez
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Pedro Munhoz | |
| Chris Gutierrez |
Pedro Munhoz is without a single loss inside the distance in his professional career. He’s 19-7-2 but is 1-4-1 in his last six fights. Chris Gutierrez is on a much better run with no losses since 2018. Two of his previous wins happened by KO/TKO, but we doubt he can do the same again. If he’s going to win on Saturday, it’s going to be by decision.
Prediction:
Clay Guida vs. Rafa Garcia
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Clay Guida | |
| Rafa Garcia |
Rafa Garcia is 14-3 overall with all three of his losses happening by decision. When it comes to his wins, eight happened by submission, which is the method of victory he’ll go for on Saturday. However, putting such a great wrestler Clay Guida to submission won’t be easy. That’s why we think the most likely outcome of this fight is Garcia by decision.
Prediction:
MMA
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