Expert prediction
XFL: Renegades vs Defenders Odds, and Picks (Apr 16)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- The Renegades took down the Guardians, 18-16, in Orlando.
- DC completed a thriller against the Sea Dragons, winning 34-33.
- This will be the very first matchup between these two teams this season.
The Renegades (4-4) and the Defenders (7-1) match up for a key battle between two potential playoff teams. DC has locked up a spot, but is fighting for seeding, while Arlington has a chance to clinch here.
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How to Watch
- Where: Audi Field, Washington, DC
- When: Sunday, April 16, 2023, at 12 p.m ET
- How to Watch: ESPN
Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread |
| Renegades | ||
| Defenders |
Game Preview
Arlington got a massive road win on Saturday, holding off a late push from the Guardians and improving to 4-4 on the season. Despite having a -30 point differential, the Renegades are in prime position to make the playoffs, needing just one more win or a Brahmas loss to clinch their spot. This is mostly thanks to a weak south division, but Arlington also has one of the XFL’s best defenses. They’ll go for the clinch here.
The Defenders bounced back from their 37-36 loss against the Guardians with an equally thrilling 34-33 win over the Sea Dragons. DC continues to hold the XFL’s best record and point differential, but still has work to do to lock down the top spot in a brutal north division. A win here would get them one step closer, while a win and a Battlehawks loss would lock up the #1 spot. They’ll rely again on their scorching offense.
Picks
The most notable stat that jumps off the page for this matchup is point differential. The Defenders boast a +55 differential, while the Renegades sit at a measly -30. That’s a difference of over 10 points per game in final result. Coupled with the game being in DC, and the Defenders should be able to get the win. That being said, Arlington’s defense is still strong, making a blowout much less likely. They’ll likely cover here.
Moneyline:
Spread:
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