Skip to content

Expert prediction

NHL Playoffs Game 5: Lightning vs Maple Leafs Prediction, Odds, and Picks (Apr 27)

  • Alex Dudley
  • Apr 25, 2023 at 3:44 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Toronto Maple Leafs within one victory of securing their spot in the next round
  • Tampa Bay Lightning must win to keep hopes of progression alive

The long wait for a Toronto Maple Leafs series victory in the playoffs may come to an end on Thursday evening. Toronto is within one victory of reaching the next round after claiming a pulsating victory over the Tampa Bay Lightning in game four.


How To Watch

  • When: Thursday, April 27, 2023, at 7:00 p.m ET
  • Where: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
  • How To Watch: NHL TV

Odds

LightningMaple Leafs

Team News

It has been a long time since Leafs Nation has been able to celebrate a series success in the playoffs, but that wait could come to an end on Thursday. The Maple Leafs are within one win of reaching the next round, and gaining revenge on the Tampa Bay Lightning, who beat Toronto in seven games last season.

It is a credit to the character of this team that they were able to bounce back from a humbling defeat in game one. That bouncebackability was evident once again in game four, as Toronto stormed back from 4-1 down at the end of the second. Toronto scored three in the final period to force overtime, before Alexander Kerfoot netted a dramatic winner.

READ MORE: F1 Picks: Azerbaijan Grand Prix Predictions, Preview, and Odds (Apr 30)

The Tampa Bay Lightning may have believed that they were cruising to success in game four. However, the Maple Leafs comeback stunned Tampa, and they must now pick themselves up from that huge disappointment at Amalie Arena. Their future in the series hinges on game five, with a victory handing them home advantage to level the series and force a game seven.

For two periods, the Lighting was excellent. They were fully deserving of their healthy advantage, with the goals in the quick start coming from Alex Killorn, Mikhail Sergachev, and Steven Stamkos. But, there was a certain sense that the momentum had firmly swung in Toronto’s favor.


Picks

Game four could turn out to be crucial in this series, as the advantage is very much with the Maple Leafs coming into game five. We expect a packed out Scotiabank Arena to enjoy a famous night on Thursday, with the Leafs gaining to win that they require to reach the next round.

Moneyline

Spread

NHL

More Predictions

NHL Insight

NHL Predictions Today: Best Bets and Picks for Friday, Nov 6

Free NHL Pick: Minnesota Wild Moneyline (-255) Best Value Pick: Calgary Flames Moneyline (-120) Puck Line Pick: Minnesota Wild -1.5 (+105) NHL Parlay: Sabres, Wild, Flames (+305) Bet Today’s NHL Games at BetUS After having a winning best bet and a correct value play on Thursday, our attention turns to Friday’s slate of games in […]

Alex Dudley 3 min read

NHL Insight

NHL Betting Picks: Best Bets For All Games on Oct 27, 2026

Seven games make up the NHL regular season schedule on Oct 27. We landed our best pick and best value selection on Oct 25, and we will be aiming to maintain our red-hot form with the games on Tuesday. Standout clashes include the Carolina Hurricanes hosting the Boston Bruins, while the Florida Panthers travel to […]

Alex Dudley 3 min read

NHL Insight

NHL Picks and Parlays Today: Best Bets For All Games on Oct 26, 2026

Three games make up the NHL regular season schedule on Oct 26. We landed our best pick and best value selection on Oct 25. The New York Rangers will be in action on Monday when they host the Los Angeles Kings, while the Toronto Maple Leafs and Detroit Red Wings travel to the Calgary Flames […]

Alex Dudley 3 min read

NHL Insight

NHL Picks and Parlays Today: Best Bets For All Games on Oct 25, 2026

Four games make up the NHL regular season schedule on Oct 25, with the Chicago Blackhawks hosting the Florida Panthers and the Dallas Stars welcoming the New York Islanders to the American Airlines Center. You can find our NHL picks and parlays for the slate of NHL games this Sunday here. NHL Picks and Parlays: […]

Alex Dudley 2 min read

NHL Insight

NHL Predictions for Today: Best Bets for All Games on Oct 24, 2026

A busy Saturday evening of NHL regular season action is set for Oct 24, as we chase another winning night of picks after correctly predicting nine of our eleven selections on Oct 22. Our NHL predictions for today can be found below, including our standout best pick and a potential value angle that could earn […]

Alex Dudley 3 min read