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Expert prediction

Champions League Semi-Final Player Props, Odds, and Picks

  • Alex Dudley
  • May 9, 2023 at 4:07 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Man City travel to Real Madrid on Tuesday, before the Milan Derby takes center stage on Wednesday
  • The return matches in the Champions League semi-final take place next week

Just four teams remain in the hunt for European glory in the Champions League this season, and the first legs in the semi-final take place across Tuesday and Wednesday this week. You can find our picks for the Champions League semi-final player props here.


Real Madrid vs Man City

How To Watch

  • When: Tuesday, May 9, 2023, at 3:00 p.m ET
  • Where: Bernabeu, Madrid, Spain
  • How To Watch: CBS

Odds

Real MadridDrawMan City

Prop Pick

The standout tie for many at this stage of the competition is the showdown between Real Madrid and Man City. This could have feasibly been the final match-up, but only one of the clubs will be able to reach the Champions League final this season.

This will be the ninth time that the two clubs have clashed, with both Real and City claiming three victories apiece. However, City have claimed victories in three of the last four. But, the only exception to that trend came in this exact fixture in the semi-finals last season, as Real Madrid landed a 3-1 win after extra time.

There will be increased pressure on Real to take something back to the Etihad next week, but goals should be expected as the previous four meetings between the sides have seen 17 goals scored. Karim Benzema is a solid option in the anytime scorer market, but a chance will instead be taken on Rodrygo. The Brazilian scored twice against City last season, and has already netted five in ten Champions League appearances this season.

Prop Bet SelectionOdds
Rodrygo to score

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AC Milan vs Inter Milan

How To Watch

  • When: Wednesday, May 10, 2023, at 3:00 p.m ET
  • Where: San Siro, Milan, Italy
  • How To Watch: CBS

Odds

AC MilanDrawInter Milan

Prop Pick

For just the fifth time in history, the two Milan giants will clash in a European fixture. AC Milan has an excellent record in meetings between the two on the continent, as they are unbeaten in the previous four. However, they needed the away goals rule to progress in the previous meeting between the two at the semi-final stage in 2002-03.

The recent advantage would rest with Inter, as they have landed two victories from the three meetings this season. Milan has failed to score in the last two against their rivals, with the most recent clash ending in a 1-0 success for Inter in Serie A.

We struggle to see this being a high-scoring affair over the two legs, and extra-time could be required next week. However, clashes between these sides have often been ill-disciplined affairs, which means it could be worth siding with a few players to pick up yellows. We could see Theo Hernandez and Lautaro Martinez both picking up bookings.

Prop Bet SelectionOdds
Theo Hernandez to get a card
Lautaro Martinez to get a card

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