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Expert prediction

Padres vs Dodgers Odds, and Picks

  • Keith McCarthy
  • May 11, 2023 at 6:46 PM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • The Padres lost to the Twins, 5-3, on Thursday.
  • Los Angeles surged past the Brewers, winning 8-1.
  • The Dodgers are 515-419 in their all-time history against San Diego.

The Padres (19-19) and the Dodgers (23-15) match up in an NL West bout. Los Angeles has surged into 1st place in the division, while San Diego has slid into 3rd, now sitting 4 full games behind the Dodgers.


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How to Watch

  • Where: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
  • When: Friday, May 12, 2023, at 10:10 p.m ET
  • How to Watch: MLB Network

Game Preview

San Diego has cooled off as of late, going 1-4 over their last 5 games. They’ve had an up-and-down season thus far, currently sitting at an even 19-19. The Padres need a major offensive lift, currently ranking 25th in the MLB in runs scored, averaging just over 4.1 per game. They need SS Xander Bogaerts to heat back up. He’s gone 9 for 56 (.161) over the past 3 weeks, while Machado and Soto have been very streaky.

The Dodgers are finally starting to play as well as many expected them to. After a surprisingly poor start to the season where they went 10-11, Los Angeles has now gone 13-4 over the past 3 weeks. They surged into 1st place in the NL West, where they now hold a 2.5 game lead. An offensive explosion has been the Dodgers’ key to success in their current winning streak. They’ve scored 68 runs over their last 10 games.


Prediction

With the way these two teams have been playing lately, the Dodgers definitely have the advantage in this matchup. That being said, this should be a competitive division rivalry, with both teams winning at least one game in the series. For the first game, Los Angeles will have the capable Dustin May (2.68 ERA) on the mound against a struggling Blake Snell (4.89 ERA). I definitely like the Dodgers chances of winning here.

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