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Expert prediction

US Open Props Predictions, Preview, and Odds (2023)

  • Alex Dudley
  • Jun 14, 2023 at 3:50 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • The US Open takes place at the exclusive Los Angeles Country Club this weekend
  • Matt Fitzpatrick claimed a first major success in the event 12 months ago

Excitement levels will be high ahead of the penultimate major of the season, as the US Open takes place in Los Angeles this weekend. It promises to be a thrilling event in California, as players look to do their talking on the greens after all the controversy away from the course following the merger between the PGA Tour and LIV Golf. There are a number of interesting US Open props markets to consider this weekend, and you can find our predictions below.


Schedule & How To Watch

  • When: Thursday, June 15, 2023- Sunday, June 18, 2023
  • Where: Los Angeles Country Club, California
  • How To Watch: Golf Channel/NBC

LIV Golf-US Open Props

LIV Golf Tour Player Top Three Finish

LIV Golf Player Top 3 FinishOdds
Yes
No

LIV Golf Tour Player To Win US Open

LIV Golf Player To Win US OpenOdds
Yes
No

With everything that has been taking place away from the golf course, it is little surprise to see a LIV special available in the props market this weekend. For the first time, an active member of the LIV Golf Tour landed major success at the PGA Championship, as Brooks Koepka stormed to glory in the previous major.

While we don’t expect a LIV player to win the event this weekend, there would be little surprise to see one of the players on the breakaway tour making a charge for victory in the final round.

US Open Props Pick

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Lowest Round 1 Score

Lowest Opening Round ScoreOdds
Over 64.5
Under 64.5

Six players are tied for the record of the lowest opening round at the US Open, with Jack Nicklaus, Tom Weiskopf, Tommy Fleetwood, Justin Thomas, Vijay Singh, and Johnny Miller all scoring a 63.

However, we would be surprised to see any of the players involved this weekend shoot a score that low on what will be a first competitive showing at the course in public.

US Open Props Pick


Will There Be A First Time Winner?

First Time Major Winner?Odds
Yes
No

This is one of the most interesting US Open props markets available this weekend. We are very keen on there being a first-time major winner this weekend, which is backed up by the fact that six of the previous seven US Open champions have been tasting the prestigious glory for the first time.

Therefore, a play on ‘yes’ in this market would be one of our stronger bets for the entire weekend.

US Open Props Pick


US Open Playoff Props

Will There Be A Playoff?

Will There Be A Playoff?Odds
Yes
No

Playoff Featuring 3 or More Players?

Playoff Featuring 3 or More PlayersOdds
Yes
No

Playoffs have been a rarity at the US Open throughout history, with the most recent taking place in 2008, as Tiger Woods held off Rocco Meditate at Torrey Pines. A three-player playoff hasn’t been needed since 1994, showing how ultra-rare that scenario is. We can’t see a playoff being required this weekend.

US Open Props Pick


Winning Margin

Winning MarginOdds
Exactly 1 Shot
4 Shots Or More
Playoff Required
Exactly 2 Shots
Exactly 3 Shots

We expect no playoff to be required this weekend, meaning that we have extra interest in the winning margin market. Matt Fitzpatrick won the US Open last year by one shot, which has been the winning margin in each of the last two editions, and three of the last five.

Martin Kaymer’s eight-shot win in 2014 is one of the biggest in recent history, but we expect a much tighter affair this weekend. Therefore, we will be following the trends this weekend, and expect a one-shot winning margin.

US Open Props Pick

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