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Expert prediction

Miami Dolphins 2023-24 NFL Playoff Odds and Prediction

  • Keith McCarthy
  • Jul 26, 2023 at 7:51 PM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • The Dolphins lost in the Wild Card round of the playoffs to Buffalo.
  • They return a stacked roster that should compete in the AFC East.
  • WRs Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle are among the best in the league.

As the 2023-24 NFL season approaches, let’s take a look at the Miami Dolphins’ playoff odds and weigh their chances of making the postseason this year. They’re expected to be right on the postseason bubble.


Playoff Odds

Historical odds are unavailable. The original analysis is preserved.

Team News

The Dolphins finished 9-8 last year, posting their 3rd straight season with 9 wins or more. Unlike their previous 9-8 and 10-6 seasons, Miami wasn’t left out of the postseason field, this time earning a spot. Unfortunately, they lost in the Wild Card, the same result as their last 4 appearances dating back to 2000. Miami will have to navigate the AFC East again to have a shot at earning their first playoff win in 23 years.

Miami’s offense was fantastic last season. The acquisition of WR Tyreek Hill from the Chiefs was an incredible decision. Instead of regressing without Mahomes as some speculated, Hill had the best season of his career, finishing with a 1st-team All-Pro performance of 119 receptions, 1,710 yards, and 7 TDs. WR Jaylen Waddle was also stellar. He’s averaged 80 receptions, 1,185 yards, and 7 TDs in his first 2 seasons.


Prediction

Projecting the Dolphins in or out of the playoffs was one of the hardest decisions to make. I see the AFC with the Chiefs, Bills, Bengals, and Jaguars winning the divisions. The Ravens and Chargers are in pretty good shape to return to the postseason, leaving the final spot to primarily the Dolphins, Steelers, and Jets. I honestly think it could go either way, but right now I’m leaning towards Miami’s defense keeping them out.

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