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Horse Racing Picks: Keeneland Predictions, Preview, and Odds (Oct 7)

  • Alex Dudley
  • Oct 6, 2023 at 4:23 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Five graded stakes races take place on the opening weekend at Keeneland
  • Grade 1 action comes in the forms of the Coolmore Turf Mile Stakes and First Lady Stakes

One of the best meets on the American schedule gets underway this weekend, as Keeneland opens its doors on Saturday. Five high-quality graded stakes races will be held at the track, including the G1 Coolmore Turf Mile Stakes.


Schedule and How To Watch

  • When: Saturday, October 7, 2023 from 3:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: Keeneland, Lexington
  • How To Watch: FanDuel TV

Coolmore Turf Mile Stakes Odds & Pick

HorseOdds
Master of the Seas+200
Up to the Mark+250
Set Piece+500
Annapolis+600
Indestructible+800
Atone+1000
Stitched+1500
Harlan Estate+2000
English Bee+3000

Latest odds taken from an offshore sportsbook

The standout Grade 1 on the card at Keeneland this weekend is the Coolmore Turf Mile. As the name suggests, the field will compete over a mile on the turf, and it could offer clues for the wide-open Breeders’ Cup Turf Mile for later in the year.

Master of the Seas looks a very solid contender for the Godolphin team, and he comes into the assignment after winning the G1 Woodbine Mile, a path previously trodden by Modern Games. Victory here will see him emerge as the runner to beat at Santa Anita.

However, a chance will be taken on Todd Pletcher’s consistent Annapolis. The four-year-old enjoys Keeneland, and was the winner of this race 12 months ago. It will require a career-best effort, but he remains a solid contender at the prices this weekend.

Keeneland Predictions:

READ MORE: F1 Picks: Qatar Grand Prix Prediction, Preview, and Odds (Oct 8)


First Lady Stakes Odds & Pick

HorseOdds
In Italian-100
Whitebeam+300
Jumbly+600
Gina Romantica+1000
Evvie’s Jets+1000
Gam’s Mission+1500
New Year’s Eve+1500
Thisnameisokay+3000

Latest odds taken from an offshore sportsbook

The fillies and mares will be in action on the turf in race eight at Keeneland on Saturday, with a field of eight competing over a mile in the G1 First Lady Stakes. In Italian looks incredibly strong at the top of the betting for Chad Brown after previously scoring a speed figure of 114 when landing the G1 Jenny Wiley Stakes at Keeneland in April.

She is very challenging to oppose this weekend, but a chance could be taken on Joseph O’Brien’s runner. Jumbly has competed at the top level throughout the season, and was a creditable fifth in the G1 Matron Stakes on her previous start at Leopardstown. Wins have been few and far between, but the expected quicker ground will more than play to her strengths.

Keeneland Predictions:


Other Keeneland Predictions

RacePick
Woodford StakesCoppola
Thoroughbred Club of America StakesWicked Halo
Claiborn Breeders’ FuturityTimberlake

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