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Expert prediction

UFC 309: Nickal vs. Craig Preview, Odds, Prediction

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • Nov 13, 2024 at 10:47 AM EST

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Nickal vs. Craig middleweight matchup is on the UFC 309 main card.
  • Nickal is a firm favorite per MMA Odds, sitting at -800.
  • Paul Craig has the most triangle chokes in UFC history, with four.

Bo Nickal and Paul Craig should deliver an exceptional bout in their upcoming matchup at the UFC 309. MMA bettors are already making their picks, and if you want to hear one, stay with us for the next few minutes.

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When, Where, and How to Watch UFC 309?

  • Place: Maddison Square Garden, New York City, New York
  • Date: Saturday, November 16, 2024
  • Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
  • How to Watch: PPV

UFC 309 Odds

FighterOdds
Bo Nickal-800
Paul Craig+550

Nickal vs. Craig Fight Preview

Nickal is a three-time NCAA Division I national wrestling champ, and he uses the same methods to beat his rivals in MMA. At the moment, he is 6-0, with three of those wins in the UFC. Elite grappling skills and superb preparations have been the key to his success so far.

After winning all of his five first appearances via first-round stoppage, he had to enter the second round against Cody Brundage whom he routed via rear-naked choke. So far, Nickal has posted two knockouts and four submissions. All those betting on MMA should note this data.

Paul Craig is a veteran with 36 years, but his UFC career is on a downhill slope. He lost four of the previous five events, all of them in the light heavyweight division. That’s why he has now dropped to the UFC middleweight division, where he has one triumph—over Andre Muniz in July 2023.

The Scotsman holds a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and is known for his fantastic grappling skills and overall wrestling. That’s why he has 13 submission wins, the second most in UFC light heavyweight history – six.

Nickal vs. Craig Prediction

The American is a far better striker than his rival, which is one reason we believe Nickal will win this event via stoppage. We aren’t sure whether that happens via submission or KO, but that advantage will be a decider in the end.

  • Nickal vs. Craig Pick: Nickal via stoppage

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