Expert prediction
Italian Open: Jannik Sinner vs. Tomy Paul Preview, Odds, Head to Head, Picks (May 16)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- Sinner vs. Paul Italian Open semifinals are on this Friday.
- This is the first tournament for Sinner following his doping suspension.
- Jannik Sinner leads 3-1 against Tommy Paul in H2H matches.
The Italian was ruthless in the semis and is now a massive favorite to reach the finals. Tommy Paul will have to play against the odds and the home crowd.
Check out: Alcaraz vs. Musetti Preview, Odds, Head to Head, Picks (May 16)
How to Watch
- When: Friday, May 15, 2:30 pm ET
- Where: Foro Italico, Rome, Italy
- How to Watch: Tennis Channel
Sinner vs. Paul Odds & Lines
| Player | Odds | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | -900 | TBA |
| Tommy Paul | +650 | TBA |
Game Preview
Last week, Casper Ruud won the Madrid Open. This Thursday, Jannik Sinner humiliated the Norwegian, allowing him to win just one game, 6-0, 6-1. The match lasted for only 65 minutes. The Italian had 70% of the first serve and converted 6 of 9 break points.
Simmer was better than Navone, De Jong, and Cerundolo before his event against Ruud. He didn’t lose a single set during these events.
Tommy Paul was better than Agut, Machac, and De Minaur in the previous rounds, dropping only a set against Machac, which was in the tie break. In his last appearance at Foro Italico, the American defeated Hubert Hurkacz, 2-0, 7-6, 6-3.
The game was a tough one, but Paul managed to get on top, converting four of his nine break points, despite only 58% of his first serve. His mobility was the key difference in moments that decided the event.
Sinner vs. Paul Head to Head
Sinner leads 3-1 in head-to-head events. The last meeting was at the US Open in September 2024 when Sinner routinely eliminated the American. Paul’s sole win was in Eastbourne in 2022.
Sinner vs. Paul Predictions
If the Italian plays 50% as he did against Ruud, he will win this one without any problems. Our pick here is Sinner to win 2-0.
- Pick: Sinner wins 2-0
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