Expert prediction
Wimbledon: Taylor Fritz vs. Carlos Alcaraz Preview, Odds, Head to Head, Picks (Jul 10)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- Fritz vs. Alcaraz is the first Wimbledon semifinal.
- Alcaraz leads 2-0 in H2H against Fritz.
- Carlos Alcaraz has 23 straight wins.
The American star, Taylor Fritz, will try to beat the odds and advance to the Wimbledon finals. His next rival is the champion here, Carlos Alcaraz.
Check out: Cobolli vs. Djokovic Preview, Odds, Head to Head, Picks (Jul 9)
How to Watch
- When: Friday, July 10
- Where: Wimbledon, London, England
- How to Watch: ESPN+
Fritz vs. Alcaraz Odds
| Player | Odds | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Fritz | +365 | 38.5 |
| Alcaras | -500 | 38.5 |
Match Preview
Taylor Fritz reached the Wimbledon semifinals, but he now faces the toughest possible task: defeating the champion. Though the American looks full of confidence, as he came to the All England Club with a title from Eastbourne.
Fritz has defeated Karen Khachanov in the quarterfinals, 3-1. He had 16 aces and two double faults with 64% of the first serve. When it came to winners, the American posted 47, having 31 unforced errors. Khachanov’s ratio was 35/38.
Carlitos was more than confident against Cameron Norrie, whom he slammed 3-0. The whole game lasted for 1 hour and 40 minutes, which is quite quick for one Grand Slam quarterfinal. It was 6-2, 6-3, 6-3 for the champ.
The average first-serve speed for Alcaraz was 202 kilometers, and he had 13 aces. He completely obliterated Norrie’s serve, having 37% of points won on the Brit’s first serve. When it was the second serve, that percentage went up to 65.
Fritz vs. Alcaraz Head to Head
Taylor Fritz lost both matches against Alcaraz. One was in Miami in 2023, 2-0 and the other at the Laver Cup last year, also 2-0.
Fritz vs. Alcaraz Predictions
With all due respect to Fritz’s form and his serve, we have to bet on the champion here. However, to increase the odds, our pick will be Fritz to take one set from the Spaniard. He has enough quality for that, but nothing more.
- Free Wimbledon pick: Fritz +2.5
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