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Expert prediction

Wimbledon: Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz Preview, Odds, Head to Head, Picks (Jul 13)

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • Jul 11, 2025 at 3:32 PM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Sinner vs. Alcaraz Wimbledon finals odds favor Carlitos at -115.
  • They met in the French Open finals when Alcaraz won.
  • Alcaraz leads 8-4 against Sinner in head-to-head games.

The Wimbledon finals will be a replay of the Roland Garros finals with Jannik Sinner facing Carlos Alcaraz. Back then, Carlitos came back from 0-2 to make one of the greatest upsets of all time, beating the Italian.

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How to Watch

  • When: Sunday, July 13, not before 9 am
  • Where: Wimbledon, London, England
  • How to Watch: ESPN+

Sinner vs. Alcaraz Odds

PlayerOddsTotal
Sinner+10541.5
Alcaraz-11541.5

Match Preview

Sinner was ruthless against Novak, beating the Serb 3-0, 6-3 in each set. However, we have to say that Djokovic made a lot of mistakes, and that in many cases he killed himself, not Jannik. Yet that can’t and won’t diminish the Italian’s success.

Apart from having luck in the quarterfinals against Dimitrov, Sinner didn’t lose a set at Wimbledon. One by one, his rivals were Nardi, Vukic, Martinez, Shelton, and Novak in the end.

Alcaraz eliminated Taylor Fritz in the semis, beating the American 3-1. Unlike Sinner, his path to the finals was much tougher. Fognini in the opening round in five sets, Tarvet, Struff, Rublec, Norrie, and Fritz. He had only two triumphs in straight sets.

Carlitos’ average first serve was 204 kilometers per hour, and we need to say that it worked perfectly so far. He also won 88% of first points, though, Fritz isn’t some magnificent returner, to be honest.

Sinner vs. Alcaraz Head to Head

Right now, it’s 8-4 for Alcaraz, who won the last meeting in the French Open finals. Jannik was serving for the match, but the Spaniard crawled back to deliver one of the epic comebacks.

Sinner vs. Alcaraz Predictions

Carlos is more versatile in our opinion, and he has a mental edge over Sinner. That’s a fact, as we saw these two meet often lately, and each time, Alcaraz’s mentality prevailed. That’s why we bet on the Spaniard to win.

  • Free Wimbledon picks: Alcaraz wins

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