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Expert prediction

Breeders’ Cup Mile Pick, Odds, Trends & Preview (Nov 1)

  • Alex Dudley
  • Oct 27, 2025 at 7:25 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

The competitive action at Del Mar this weekend continues on Saturday, November 1, as an international field goes to post for the G1 Breeders’ Cup Mile. A world-renowned field will compete on the turf over a mile, with a purse of $2 million up for grabs. You can find our pick here.


Breeders’ Cup Mile Overview

  • When: Saturday, November 1, 2025, at 7:05 PM ET
  • Where: Del Mar, California
  • How to Watch: USA/Peacock
  • Grade: Grade One
  • Distance: 1 Mile
  • Purse: $2 Million

Breeders’ Cup Mile Odds

HorseOdds
Notable Speech+250
Sahlan+550
The Lion In Winter+650
Rhetorical+700
Formidable Man+800
Other Selections+1000 & Bigger

ALSO SEE: Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Pick, Odds, Trends & Preview (Oct 31)


Breeders’ Cup Mile Recent Winners

YearWinning Horse
2024More Than Looks
2023Master of The Seas
2022Modern Games
2021Space Blues
2020Order Of Australia

Breeders’ Cup Mile Trends

  • Horses positioned in stalls 1-6 have a 76% strike-rate in the Breeders’ Cup Mile.
  • Interestingly, last time out winners have won 16 of the last 25 editions of the race.
  • Charlie Appleby and Aidan O’Brien have contributed to 18 of the last 25 winners of the Mile.

Breeders’ Cup Mile Leading Contenders

An international field will go to post for this year’s edition of the Breeders’ Cup Mile. Cases can be made for many, with a few of the European raiders looking to get their careers back on track after defeats on their final prep start.

However, that isn’t the case for Charlie Appleby-trained Notable Speech. The four-year-old was a clear-cut winner of the G1 Woodbine Mile on his last start, and he has recorded victories in three of his ten attempts in stakes company. Connections typically enjoy success in this race, and he is the obvious angle on Saturday.

Sahlan is a notable French runner this weekend for Francis Graffard. The three-year-old saw off Rosallion in the G1 Prix du Moulin at Longchamp last month, and was also a winner on quick ground at Deauville in early August. Ground conditions should suit this raider.

Aidan O’Brien also has a runner this weekend. The Lion In Winter ran an excellent race at Ascot last time out to take second in the G1 Queen Elizabeth II Stakes, and a return to that form should ensure that he has leading claims this weekend.

American hopes could hinge on Formidable Man. The Michael McCarthy-trained runner was an excellent winner over course and distance at the end of August when beating Almendares. However, this is a significant step up in opposition.

Jonquil has questions to answer, while Program Trading looks primed to run a big race for Chad Brown. Qirat caused one of the biggest upsets of the year in Europe earlier this season when landing the G1 Sussex Stakes at odds of 150/1.


Breeders’ Cup Mile Pick

Notable Speech should prove hard to beat this weekend, while The Lion In Winter could be a notable inclusion in Exotics. However, at the prices, Japanese raider Argine could be overlooked. The five-year-old mare has already shown her ability this year after winning the G3 Queen Stakes in Japan. A lightning-fast surface should play to her strengths, and she’s taken to out-run her odds.

Free Pick:

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