Expert prediction
NFL Week 11: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos Preview, Odds, Picks (Nov 16)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- Chiefs vs. Broncos is the biggest game of Week 11.
- Denver Broncos lead the AFC West.
- Kansas City Chiefs allow 17.7 points per game, 4th best in the NFL.
This AFC West clash could have a significant impact on the division and conference standings, ultimately affecting the playoff picture.
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How to Watch
- When: Sunday, November 16, 4:25 pm ET
- Where: Mile High, Denver, Colorado
- How to Watch: CBS
Chiefs vs. Broncos Odds
Game Preview
Kansas City lost two weeks ago after three wins in a row. They couldn’t handle Josh Allen and the Bills in Buffalo, losing 28-21. So now, the Broncos are topping the division, and this win is an absolute must for Mahomes and the crew.
The Chiefs’ defense is solid, allowing only 17.7 points, which is the 4th-best in the NFL. It’s way better than at the start of the year, but the slow beginning took its toll on results, and the 3-time Super Bowl champs now have to find a way to make everything right.
Denver is pushing hard, and the Broncos are leading the division and are tied with the Colts and the Patriots at the top of the AFC. Their defense is impressive, but we also have to mention Bo Nix’s occasional flashes. He oscillates, yet shows courage in the most critical moments of the game.
The Broncos average 128.6 rushing yards per game, which is the 9th productive in the NFL. They prefer to play a heavy-run game whenever possible, and it has been working well for the moment.
Chiefs vs. Broncos Head to Head
Two AFC West teams have shared the field 130 times. The Chiefs lead the way 73-57, but the previous meeting in January 2025 ended with the Broncos beating KC 38-0.
Chiefs vs. Broncos Predictions
The Kansas City Chiefs are in a must-win position, and have nothing to calculate for. Since these two teams allow a low number of points, we should see an inefficient matchup, particularly due to high stakes and the fact that it’s a divisional rivalry. Our final pick here is Under 44.5 points.
- Free NFL Picks: Under 44.5 points
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