Expert prediction
USF vs Memphis Preview, Odds, Predictions (March 5)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- The Tigers lost their last six games in conference play.
- The Bulls are rolling with a seven-game win streak.
- This marks the 44th all-time matchup between the two American squads.
A big showdown will commence in the American Conference between the Memphis Tigers and the USF Bulls. The latter stands out as the solid favorite, paving the way for an intriguing matchup that will decide if the Bulls win the regular-season title as soon as March 5.
How to Watch
- When: Thursday, March 5, 9 pm ET
- Where: FedExForum, Memphis, Tennessee
- How to Watch: ESPN2
NCAA Matchup Odds & Lines
| Team | Odds | Spread | Totals |
|---|---|---|---|
| USF | -115 | -6.5 | O161 |
| Memphis | -105 | +6.5 | U161 |
Game Preview
The Bulls (21-8, 13-3 American) are on fire with seven consecutive wins, on pace to win the regular-season title. USF leads the conference in opponent field goal percentage (.416), rebounds per game (42.9), offensive rebounds (15.5), defensive rebounds (27.4) and assists (17.14). Izaiyah Nelson averages 16.2 points and 10.0 rebounds, leading the conference in rebounding and field-goal percentage (56.8). He is also third in the country with 18 double-doubles this season. Meanwhile, Wes Enis (15.9 PPG, 3.5 made threes per game) and Joseph Pinion (14.4 PPG, 3.3 made threes per game) form one of the most potent duos in the country with their remarkable perimeter shooting.
The Tigers (12-17, 7-9 American) are at serious risk of potentially missing out on the conference tournament, losing their last six games. They will need to win out and hope that Temple and East Carolina don’t secure victories in their final league games. Memphis counters with a balanced scoring attack led by Dug McDaniel (13.4 ppg), Sincere Parker (12.0 ppg) and Curtis Givens III (9.4 ppg). On another note, Aaron Bradshaw will look to emphasize his impact on the interior, producing 8.9 points and 4.2 rebounds per contest.
USF vs Memphis Head-to-Head
The two programs have had 43 meetings in their history, and the result is 34-9 for the Tigers. The last matchup was in March 2025 when USF won 87-66 at home.
USF vs Memphis Predictions
The Tigers will need to begin the night strong at home, something they have struggled to do on the road this season. However, the game will still be difficult as the Bulls perform at a high level on both sides of the ball, whether at home or on the road. With a regular-season title on the line, USF will look to be the one to have a statement performance. Our betting pick here is the Bulls to defend a 9-point spread.
- Free NCAAB pick: USF Bulls -9
NCAAB
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