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Expert prediction

SEC Tournament: No. 22 Vanderbilt vs No. 4 Florida Preview, Odds, Predictions (March 14)

  • Richard Pereira
  • Mar 14, 2026 at 1:01 PM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • The Commodores have won their last three games.
  • The Gators are on fire with a 12-game winning streak.
  • This marks the 150th all-time matchup between the two SEC squads.

The college basketball world is set for a big schedule throughout March 14, involving an duel between the No. 4 Florida Gators and the No. 22 Vanderbilt Commodores. The former stands out as the solid favorite, paving the way for one of these squads to get to the SEC Championship game.

How to Watch

  • When: Saturday, March 14, 1 pm ET
  • Where: Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, Tennessee
  • How to Watch: ESPN

NCAA Matchup Odds & Lines

TeamOddsSpreadTotals
Vanderbilt-110+7.5O160
Florida-110-7.5U160

Game Preview

The No. 22 Commodores (25-7, 11-7 SEC) are making a solid run as they are on pace to secure an At-Large bid to the NCAA Tournament if they don’t win the conference tournament. They secured a bye to the quarterfinals as they took down the Tennessee Volunteers to reach the semifinals. Duke Miles scored a season-high 30 points, including 17 in the second half, to lead Vanderbilt to the win over Tennessee.

The No. 4 Gators (26-6, 16-2 SEC) look to add the SEC Championship to their collection after securing the regular-season title. They have won their last 12 games, taking down the Kentucky Wildcats in the quarterfinals to advance to the semifinals. Alex Condon was a problem in the post as he ended up being the player of the game. He finished with 22 points, 10 rebounds and a pair of blocks to lead Florida past Kentucky.

Vanderbilt vs Florida Head-to-Head

The two programs have had 149 meetings in their history, and the result is 76-73 for the Gators. The last matchup was in January this year when Florida won 98-94 at home.

Vanderbilt vs Florida Predictions

Vanderbilt has ambitions to have a solid run in the NCAA Tournament while Florida seeks to defend its throne as the reigning national champions. The Gators will require another solid game from Alex Condon while having better production from Thomas Haugh and the supporting cast. Meanwhile, the Commodores will hope to see if Duke Miles has more explosive scoring available in the tank. Our betting pick here is the Gators to cover a 7.5-point spread.

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