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Burnley vs. Man City Picks – Betting Preview, Team News, Predictions, and Prop Pick (Apr 22) 

  • Alex Dudley
  • Apr 20, 2026 at 7:23 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • When: Wednesday, April 22, 2026. 3:00 PM ET
  • Where: Turf Moor, Burnley, England
  • How to Watch: NBC
Match ResultOdds
Burnley+1300
The Draw+870
Man City-625

Burnley vs. Man City Preview

Man City could seize control at the top of the English Premier League standings on April 22, as a victory over Burnley will see them go ahead of long time leaders Arsenal. Burnley will be playing for nothing more than pride, as their relegation back to the second tier could be confirmed this weekend.     

ALSO SEE: Oaklawn Handicap Picks – Horse Racing Odds, Betting Preview, and Predictions (Apr 18)

Burnley Stats & Team News

  • Overall Record: 4-8-21
  • Home Record: 2-5-9
  • Road Record: 2-3-12
  • Top Goal Scorer: Zian Flemming (9)

Scott Parker has been fighting a losing battle throughout the season, as Burnley have looked to have lacked the quality to compete in the Premier League since the opening day.

Their struggles continued over the weekend after losing 4-1 at Nottingham Forest, meaning that the Clarets have now lost three on the bounce. Meanwhile, they have underperformed at home throughout the campaign, going 12 without a victory at Turf Moor. Quilindschy Hartman has been a rare bright spark for the team, with the full-back racking up an impressive five assists.

Team News:

Axel Tuanzebe (Other), Hannibal Mejbri (Thigh), Josh Cullen (Knee)

Likely Line-Up:

(4-2-3-1): Dubravka (GK); Walker, Worrall, Esteve, Hartman; Luis, Ward-Prowse; Edwards, Broja, Laurent; Flemming

Man City Stats & Team News

  • Overall Record: 20-7-5
  • Home Record: 12-3-1
  • Road Record: 8-4-4
  • Top Goal Scorer: Erling Haaland (23)

Man City have taken control of the Premier League title race, with their 2-1 win over Arsenal on Sunday ensuring that the destination of the championship is now in their own hands. City were relentless in the win over the Gunners, with Erling Haaland netting the crucial winner in the second half.

Pep Guardiola’s ability to get his team to peak at the right time is evident by the fact that no team has picked up more away points than City since the start of December. They also come into this clash after winning their last four in all competitions.

Team News:

Rodri (Other), Ruben Dias (Muscle), Josko Gvardiol (Leg)

Likely Line-Up:

(4-2-3-1): Donnarumma (GK); Nunes, Khusanov, Guehi, O’Reilly; Silva, Gonzalez; Semenyo, Cherki, Doku; Haaland

Burnley vs. Man City Prop Pick

Erling Haaland has returned to form after scoring four in his last three appearances. The striker boasts an excellent record against Burnley, scoring seven in his four appearances against the Clarets. On an important night for City, Haaland could be good value to score multiple goals.

Head-to-Head Trends

  • Burnley have won just one of their last 19 Premier League fixtures against Man City, losing each of the last eleven.
  • Man City have won 14 of their previous 15 fixtures against Burnley.

Burnley vs. Man City Picks

Man City will climb to the top of the Premier League standings on Wednesday, and the only value in the betting for the away win against their struggling hosts will come in the spread.

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