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2026 World Cup Group D: Turkiye vs USA Preview, Odds and Predictions (June 25)

  • Richard Pereira
  • Jun 25, 2026 at 1:43 PM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • When: Thursday, June 25, 2026. 10:00 PM ET
  • Where: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California
  • How to Watch: FOX
Match ResultOdds
Turkiye+305
The Draw+336
USA-124

The 2026 World Cup starts the third round of matches with the final matchup in Group D getting underway in Los Angeles as Turkiye clashes with USA. Both squads know their fates in Group D, meaning that there will be not as much pressure on both nations on MD3.

ALSO SEE: World Cup 2026: Our Experts Share Their World Cup Picks

Turkiye Stats & Team News

Turkiye massively disappointed fans with its results after two matches in the World Cup. They failed to score a goal after suffering a 2-0 defeat to Australia in Matchday 1 and a 1-0 loss to Paraguay in Matchday 2.

They became one of the first nations to suffer elimination in the group stage, emphasizing how poorly they have been throughout the tournament. The Turks hope to get one goal before officially bowing out of the group stage, especially for young star Arda Guler.

Likely Lineup:

(4-2-3-1) Cakir (GK); Müldür, Demiral, Bardakci, Kadioglu; Çalhanoglu, Yüksek; Uzun, Güler, Yildiz; Gül

USA Stats & Team News

The main hosts of the tournament are in high spirits after punching their ticket to the knockout rounds. They dominated Paraguay 4-1 in the group opener then took down Australia to win Group D and advance to the Round of 32.

The USMNT will utilize its second unit to rest their top players for the knockout stage, presenting great opportunities for the backups to shine. Keep an eye on Tim Weah, Gio Reyna and Haji Wright to make solid impacts on the match.

Likely Lineup:

(4-2-3-1) Turner (GK) Scally, Trusty, McKenzie, Arfsten; Berhalter, Tillman; Weah, Reyna, Zendejas; Wright

Head-to-Head Stats

  • This is the fifth all-time meeting between Turkiye and USA.
  • This marks the second competitive meeting between the nations, first since the 2003 Confederations Cup.

Turkiye vs. USA World Cup Picks

Turkiye intends to exit the tournament with their head held high despite suffering stunning losses in the group stage. On the other side, the USMNT looks to continue their momentum by winning their group finale and remaining undefeated going into the knockout rounds. It would be safe to believe that USA takes this one by a 2-1 score.

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