Expert prediction
Bundesliga Matchday 4 Predictions: Best Bets, Odds & Weekend Picks
- Nikola Velickovic
- Sep 18, 2026 at 3:16 AM EDT
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
The 2026–27 German Bundesliga campaign moves into Matchday 4 (September 18–20, 2026) with a series of high-profile fixtures.
The round opens in Bavaria, where Bayern Munich hosts Union Berlin on Friday night. A marquee Saturday evening clash pits VfB Stuttgart against Borussia Dortmund, and a Sunday afternoon delivers a high-octane encounter between Bayer Leverkusen and RB Leipzig at the BayArena.
Below is our complete breakdown of top betting angles, value picks, key fixture previews, and the full schedule for Bundesliga Matchday 4.
Matchday 4 Best Bets & Top Value Angles
- Best Bet: Bayern Munich -1.5 vs. Union Berlin
- Best Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Stuttgart vs. Borussia Dortmund
- Top Value Over/Under: Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig Over 2.5 goals
Key Fixture Breakdown & Predictions
Bayern Munich vs. Union Berlin Prediction & Odds
Kickoff: Friday, September 18 | 2:30 PM ET / 20:30 CEST | Allianz Arena, Munich
Match Preview
Matchday 4 gets underway at the Allianz Arena. Bayern is an absolute favorite here, and we don’t have to explain why. Union Berlin suffered a 3–1 home loss to Schalke last weekend, and that’s not a great lead-up to this match. Right now, Union is winless in their last three matches, in which they allowed 10 goals total. A weak defense meets one of Europe’s best attacks. What do you think will happen?
- Best Bet: Bayern Munich -2.5
Stuttgart vs. Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Odds
Kickoff: Saturday, September 19 | 12:30 PM ET / 18:30 CEST | MHPArena, Stuttgart
Match Preview
These two teams share a long, rich history. Dortmund come into this contest with high confidence after a convincing 3–0 home win over Paderborn. Stuttgart lost 2–1 to Hoffenheim on Matchday and now looks to bounce back with a good result. Both teams play high-scoring football – 7 of Stuttgart’s last 8 games saw over 2.5 goals, while all 5 of Borussia’s previous games had the same efficiency. It’s the reason our bet focuses on goals and not the full-time winner.
- Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals & BTTS
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig Prediction & Odds
Kickoff: Sunday, September 20 | 9:30 AM ET / 15:30 CEST | BayArena, Leverkusen
Match Preview
Same as in the previous case, these teams play very efficient matches. For example, 8 of Leverkusen’s 9 appearances have ended with over 2.5 goals. On the other hand, the previous 6 contests the Bulls had, also saw at least 3 goals. Their head-to-head history has the same vibe – 6 in a row finished with over 2.5 hits and both teams netting. We really don’t see how this one could end any differently. Even though RB seems to be struggling on the road, they still have a thunderous transition, able to score against anyone. Meanwhile, their defense is terrible, and when you put these two factors together, goals are inevitable.
- Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals & BTTS
Werder Bremen vs. Augsburg
Kickoff: Saturday, September 19| 9:30 AM ET / 15:30 CEST | Weserstadion, Bremen
Match Preview
Werder will get most of its points at home, and the River Islanders play at least 50% better at Weser than on the road. Augsburg started the campaign pretty fast, having 7 points after three rounds and a 9-3 goal difference. This game promises excitement, and even though we suggested goals in the previous two previews, we are once again picking the same bet: Over 2.5 goals & BTTS.
- Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals & BTTS
Complete Bundesliga Gameweek 4 Schedule & Picks
| Date | Time (ET / CEST) | Fixture | Pick |
| Fri, Sep 18 | 2:30 PM ET / 20:30 CET | Bayern Munich vs. Union Berlin | FC Bayern Munich -2.5 |
| Sat, Sep 19 | 9:30 AM ET / 15:30 CET | Werder Bremen vs. Augsburg | Both Teams to Score |
| Sat, Sep 19 | 9:30 AM ET / 15:30 CET | Borussia Monchengladbach vs. Mainz 05 | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| Sat, Sep 19 | 9:30 AM ET / 15:30 CET | Hamburger vs. Koln | Over 2.5 Goals |
| Sat, Sep 19 | 9:30 AM ET / 15:30 CET | Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Freiburg | Under 2.5 Goals |
| Sat, Sep 19 | 12:30 PM ET / 18:30 CET | Stuttgart vs. Borussia Dortmund | Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 |
| Sun, Sep 20 | 9:30 AM ET / 15:30 CET | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
| Sun, Sep 20 | 11:30 AM ET / 17:30 CEST | Schalke 04 vs. Elversberg | Schalke 04 |
| Sun, Sep 20 | 1:30 PM ET / 19:30 CEST | Paderborn vs. Hoffenheim | Hoffenheim |
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