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Bundesliga Matchday 4 Predictions: Best Bets, Odds & Weekend Picks

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • Sep 18, 2026 at 3:16 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

The 2026–27 German Bundesliga campaign moves into Matchday 4 (September 18–20, 2026) with a series of high-profile fixtures.

The round opens in Bavaria, where Bayern Munich hosts Union Berlin on Friday night. A marquee Saturday evening clash pits VfB Stuttgart against Borussia Dortmund, and a Sunday afternoon delivers a high-octane encounter between Bayer Leverkusen and RB Leipzig at the BayArena.

Below is our complete breakdown of top betting angles, value picks, key fixture previews, and the full schedule for Bundesliga Matchday 4.

Matchday 4 Best Bets & Top Value Angles

  • Best Bet: Bayern Munich -1.5 vs. Union Berlin
  • Best Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Stuttgart vs. Borussia Dortmund
  • Top Value Over/Under: Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig Over 2.5 goals

Key Fixture Breakdown & Predictions

Bayern Munich vs. Union Berlin Prediction & Odds

Kickoff: Friday, September 18 | 2:30 PM ET / 20:30 CEST | Allianz Arena, Munich

Match Preview

Matchday 4 gets underway at the Allianz Arena. Bayern is an absolute favorite here, and we don’t have to explain why. Union Berlin suffered a 3–1 home loss to Schalke last weekend, and that’s not a great lead-up to this match. Right now, Union is winless in their last three matches, in which they allowed 10 goals total. A weak defense meets one of Europe’s best attacks. What do you think will happen?


Stuttgart vs. Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Odds

Kickoff: Saturday, September 19 | 12:30 PM ET / 18:30 CEST | MHPArena, Stuttgart

Match Preview

These two teams share a long, rich history. Dortmund come into this contest with high confidence after a convincing 3–0 home win over Paderborn. Stuttgart lost 2–1 to Hoffenheim on Matchday and now looks to bounce back with a good result. Both teams play high-scoring football – 7 of Stuttgart’s last 8 games saw over 2.5 goals, while all 5 of Borussia’s previous games had the same efficiency. It’s the reason our bet focuses on goals and not the full-time winner.


Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig Prediction & Odds

Kickoff: Sunday, September 20 | 9:30 AM ET / 15:30 CEST | BayArena, Leverkusen

Match Preview

Same as in the previous case, these teams play very efficient matches. For example, 8 of Leverkusen’s 9 appearances have ended with over 2.5 goals. On the other hand, the previous 6 contests the Bulls had, also saw at least 3 goals. Their head-to-head history has the same vibe – 6 in a row finished with over 2.5 hits and both teams netting. We really don’t see how this one could end any differently. Even though RB seems to be struggling on the road, they still have a thunderous transition, able to score against anyone. Meanwhile, their defense is terrible, and when you put these two factors together, goals are inevitable.


Werder Bremen vs. Augsburg

Kickoff: Saturday, September 19| 9:30 AM ET / 15:30 CEST | Weserstadion, Bremen

Match Preview

Werder will get most of its points at home, and the River Islanders play at least 50% better at Weser than on the road. Augsburg started the campaign pretty fast, having 7 points after three rounds and a 9-3 goal difference. This game promises excitement, and even though we suggested goals in the previous two previews, we are once again picking the same bet: Over 2.5 goals & BTTS.

Complete Bundesliga Gameweek 4 Schedule & Picks

DateTime (ET / CEST)FixturePick
Fri, Sep 182:30 PM ET / 20:30 CETBayern Munich vs. Union BerlinFC Bayern Munich -2.5
Sat, Sep 199:30 AM ET / 15:30 CETWerder Bremen vs. AugsburgBoth Teams to Score
Sat, Sep 199:30 AM ET / 15:30 CETBorussia Monchengladbach vs. Mainz 05Borussia Monchengladbach
Sat, Sep 199:30 AM ET / 15:30 CETHamburger vs. KolnOver 2.5 Goals
Sat, Sep 199:30 AM ET / 15:30 CETEintracht Frankfurt vs. FreiburgUnder 2.5 Goals
Sat, Sep 1912:30 PM ET / 18:30 CETStuttgart vs. Borussia DortmundBoth Teams to Score & Over 2.5
Sun, Sep 209:30 AM ET / 15:30 CETBayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB LeipzigBayer 04 Leverkusen
Sun, Sep 2011:30 AM ET / 17:30 CESTSchalke 04 vs. ElversbergSchalke 04
Sun, Sep 201:30 PM ET / 19:30 CESTPaderborn vs. HoffenheimHoffenheim

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