UEFA Nations League Predictions: Best Bets, Odds & MD3 Picks (Oct 1-3)

The relentless international soccer calendar rolls on this week, as Matchday 3 in the UEFA Nations League gets underway on October 1. The USA will also be in action this week, as Mauricio Pochettino’s side take on Chile, and you can find our picks here.  However, for our best UEFA Nations League predictions and picks for this week, you can find our selections below.

UEFA Nations League Best Bets & Top Value Picks

• Best Pick: Germany (vs. Serbia)
• Best Both Teams to Score (BTTS): France vs. Italy
• Best Value Over/Under: Belgium vs. Turkey Over 2.5

ALSO SEE: Breeders’ Cup Classic Picks, Odds, Leading Contenders, Betting Insights & Analysis

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Key Fixture Breakdown & Nations League Best Bets

France vs. Italy Prediction & Odds

Kickoff: Friday, October 2 | 2:45 PM ET | Stade de France, Paris

Match Preview

European heavyweights collide at the Stade de France on Friday, as Zinedine Zidane’s France take on Roberto Mancini’s Italy. France recorded a second win under Zidane on Monday, beating Belgium 1-0 away from home.

Mancini’s Italy should also bring confidence into this clash after winning for the first time since the return of their EURO 2020-winning coach. However, the head-to-head trends indicate the most logical betting angle, as France have won four of the previous five clashes. That includes a 3-1 victory in the UEFA Nations League in November 2024.

• Best Bet: France

Germany vs. Serbia Prediction & Odds

Kickoff: Thursday, October 1 | 2:45 PM ET | Allianz Arena, Munich

Match Preview

It has been an underwhelming start to international management for Jurgen Klopp, as he has failed to record a win in his first two matches in charge of Germany. Following a 1-1 draw against the Netherlands last week, Germany were toothless in the final third of a home 1-0 loss against Greece on Sunday.

However, this fixture provides a golden opportunity to get a first win on the board. Serbia have suffered back-to-back defeats in the Nations League, and they have looked weak defensively after allowing at least two goals in each of their previous four.

• Best Bet: Germany

Denmark vs. Portugal Prediction & Odds

Kickoff: Thursday, October 1 | 2:45 PM ET | Parken, Copenhagen

Match Preview

Portugal have made a red-hot start under new head coach Jorge Jesus, winning back-to-back clashes against Wales and Norway. A third straight win will likely put them in a very reliable spot to gain qualification to the Nations League quarterfinals.

Portugal’s overall form this calendar year has been very strong, avoiding defeat in ten of their last eleven. In contrast, Denmark have won just twice in their last six internationals. An away victory looks like the logical betting angle when making Nations League picks.

• Best Bet: Portugal