Expert prediction
NFL Odds, Predictions: Bears vs. Packers Week 5 Preview & Picks (Oct 11)
- Nikola Velickovic
- Oct 5, 2026 at 2:54 AM EDT
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- Bears vs. Packers Week 5 odds set Chicago as a -150 favorite.
- Chicago’s Tyson Bagent started against the Jets at QB.
- Packers average 58 rushing yards, the worst in the NFL.
The oldest rivalry in professional football writes its next chapter. Chicago Bears travel to Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers in an important game that could shape the NFL North playoff picture.
Here is the full NFL Week 5 odds and picks list.
How to Watch
- When: Sunday, October 11, 1:00 PM ET
- Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin
- How to Watch: FOX
Bears vs. Packers Odds
Game Preview
Ben Johnson’s squad leads the league in rushing yards, recording 196.2 per game. Both Kyle Monangai and D’Andre Swift have 300+ yards after 4 weeks, and they look like a perfect one-two punch combo.
Meanwhile, we don’t know who’s starting at QB in this one: Keenum or Tyson Bagent, who played in the 23-12 win over the Jets. Bagent threw for 268 passing yards, yet no touchdowns and one pick. The Bears are also the NFL’s 4th-ranked scoring defense, allowing 16.2 PPG.
The Packers are 2-2, but they aren’t playing well at all. Josh Jacobs’ and Micah Parsons’ absences are too much for this team, which struggles a lot right now. Beating the injured Buccaneers on the road, 17-14, was solely because Baker Mayfield didn’t play, and there’s no question about that.
Matt LeFleur has plenty of problems on the offensive side without Jacobs, because the Packers average 58 rushing yards per game. This is by far the worst number in the league. Meanwhile, Jordan Love keeps on throwing picks, and he recorded one in Tampa Bay last weekend. So the Packers are pretty fragile on offense.
Bears vs. Packers Predictions
Even though the Packers have their pride at Lambeau, the Bears will win. Simply, the guests from Chicago have a much better offense, at least one level above Green Bay’s, even if Caleb Williams isn’t playing. Besides that, their defense will stiff Love because the Packers have no choice but to overload the pass game, and we all know Love doesn’t work well in those situations.
- Free NFL pick: Chicago Bears -2.5
How to bet on the Bears vs. Patriots (Week 5)
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