Expert prediction
NFL Odds, Predictions: Raiders vs. Patriots Week 5 Preview & Picks (Oct 11)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- Raiders vs. Patriots odds favor New England at -195.
- Drake Maye has 4 TDs and 7 interceptions.
- Raiders score 28.8 points, 8th in the NFL.
Patriots are pumped up following a win in Buffalo. They now host the Las Vegas Raiders in a direct battle for the playoff spot.
Here is the full NFL Week 5 odds and picks list.
How to Watch
- When: Sunday, October 11, 2026, 1:00 PM ET
- Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
- How to Watch: CBS
Raiders vs. Patriots Odds
Game Preview
Kirk Cousins and the Raiders lost to the Chiefs 30-27 after a massive battle at Allegiant Stadium last Sunday. They went toe-to-toe against Mahomes and the boys, who defended the last drive to secure the win.
Cousins threw for 11 TDs and 4 picks, for 1,026 passing yards. He is navigating the diverse Raiders’ offense pretty well. Captain Kirk gets everyone involved, which is why this team averages 28.8 points per game. This is the 8th-best offense in the league.
The Patriots pulled off an upset in Buffalo, beating the Bills 29-26. This was a big win for the team from Gillette Stadium, because they not only reached .500 but also beat the division rivals.
Drake Maye has problems, having 7 picks so far and only 4 TDs. On the other hand, the defense looks pretty good, allowing 19.2 points, No.6 in the NFL. To be honest, if it weren’t for that, Mike Vrabel’s boys would have a negative record; that’s for sure.
Raiders vs. Patriots Predictions
The Patriots’ secondary is excellent and allows the 5th-lowest yards per game (189.9), and that’s what will decide this game. Their pass rush stats aren’t that dominant, yet the pressure and the secondary are doing a great job. That, the fact that the Pats play outside and have a home-field edge, are the reasons to bet on their win here.
- Free NFL pick: Patriots
How to bet on the Raiders vs. Patriots (Week 5)
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