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Expert prediction

XFL: Roughnecks vs Brahmas Odds, and Picks (Apr 9)

  • Keith McCarthy
  • Apr 4, 2023 at 9:12 PM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • The Roughnecks lost to the Battlehawks last week, by a score of 24-15.
  • San Antonio was taken down by the Vipers, 26-12, falling to 2-5.
  • These two teams last met on March 5, in a game that the Roughnecks won 22-13.

The Roughnecks (4-3) and the Brahmas (2-5) match up for a rematch between Texas teams. Houston has begun to lose their momentum and is trying to get back on track, while San Antonio fights to stay alive.

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How to Watch

  • Where: Alamodome, San Antonio, TX
  • When: Sunday, April 9, 2023, at 3 p.m ET
  • How to Watch: ABC

Odds

TeamMoneylineSpread
Roughnecks
Brahmas

Game Preview

Houston has now lost 3 in a row, falling far from their mark of 4-0 after the first four games of the season. They still sit atop an awful south division, with a very high chance of making the postseason, but do not want to enter it on a losing skid. In their last 3 games, Houston has been especially vulnerable on defense, giving up over 27 ppg. They’ll try to change that here against San Antonio’s 2nd-worst ranked offense.

The Brahmas had a rough go of it last week, losing 26-12 to the 1-5 Vipers. They were shut out in the 2nd half, continuing to struggle on offense. Through 7 games, San Antonio has scored 101 points. That’s a bit better than the Renegades at 94, but far removed from the 3rd-worst team at 137. The Brahmas will keep relying on their defense to lead that way, while hoping their offense, and QB Kurt Benkert, can heat up.


Picks

When these two teams last faced off in Houston, the Roughnecks walked away with a 9-point victory. You typically would expect a closer game when the losing team hosts the rematch, though the close proximity limits that slightly. With the way Houston has played as of late, this may wind up being a very close game. I see the Brahmas keeping it close and low-scoring, before eventually coming up short and losing it 19-17.

Moneyline:

Spread:

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