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Expert prediction

The Open Top 5, Top 10, and Top 20 Predictions, Preview, and Odds (2023)

  • Alex Dudley
  • Jul 19, 2023 at 3:27 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Final golf major of the season gets underway at Royal Liverpool on Thursday
  • Cameron Smith is the defending champion following his victory at St Andrews in 2022

The start of the final golf major of the season is firmly within sight, as the action at The Open gets underway at Royal Liverpool on Thursday. You can find our full preview for the major here. It promises to be a thrilling event on the golf schedule, and you can find our picks for the top 5, top 10, and top 20 markets below.


Schedule & How To Watch

  • When: Thursday, July 20, 2023- Sunday, July 23, 2023
  • Where: Royal Liverpool, Liverpool, England
  • How To Watch: NBC/Golf Channel

The Open Top 5 Vegas Odds

PlayerOdds
Scottie Scheffler
Rory McIlroy
Jon Rahm
Patrick Cantlay
Cameron Smith
Xander Schauffele
Brooks Koepka
Viktor Hovland

It will be a fascinating battle at the top of the leaderboard at Royal Liverpool this weekend, and there are no shortage of leading contenders that promise to be in the mix. The top 5 market is one that I will be looking to play very safe this weekend, meaning that the top two in the betting appear to be the standout contenders.

Rory McIlroy comes into the event in excellent form after winning the Scottish Open, while Scottie Scheffler also holds an excellent record in majors and was in the mix for a long time in the Scottish event last weekend. It appears a solid chance that both stars will finish in the top five this weekend.

Free Pick

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The Open Top 10 Vegas Odds

PlayerOdds
Rickie Fowler
Brooks Koepka
Tommy Fleetwood
Shane Lowry
Dustin Johnson
Jordan Spieth
Collin Morikawa
Tony Finau

The top ten Open betting market could be one of the most competitive for the event this weekend. I believe Shane Lowry is massively overpriced at the current prices. The former Open champion has an excellent record around links courses, which includes a victory at the major and a top ten finish on his debut appearance.

Jordan Spieth also holds a solid chance for the same reasons, and he can be forgiven for a below par showing at the Scottish Open last weekend. Other selections I like in this market include Rickie Fowler and Cameron Smith.

Free Pick


The Open Top 20 Vegas Odds

PlayerOdds
Tom Kim
Justin Rose
Jason Day
Corey Conners
Bryson DeChambeau
Sungjae Im
Russell Henley
Max Homa

The top 20 betting market will be one where I will look to include some bigger price selections, and form over links courses is taken into consideration. Corey Conners could easily be a player fighting for the lead this weekend, and +200 for him to finish in the top 20 looks to be one of the most solid plays at The Open.

Justin Rose also has an excellent record in majors this season and should be competing for a top 20 finish. Meanwhile, Min Woo Lee, Matthew Jordan, and Padraig Harrington are others that we will be playing.

Free Pick

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