Expert prediction
American Pharoah Stakes Picks, Odds, and Preview (Oct 4)
- Alex Dudley
- Oct 2, 2025 at 7:03 AM EDT
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
One of the most important juvenile races on the U.S. schedule is set for Santa Anita this weekend, as a field of six runners will line up in the G1 American Pharoah Stakes. Important points on the Road to the Kentucky Derby will be up for grabs, while the race also serves as a prep for the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. You can find the odds and picks here.
Event Information
- When: Saturday, October 4, 2025. 5:00 PM ET
- Where: Santa Anita, California
- How To Watch: FanDuel TV
American Pharoah Stakes Odds
| Horse | Odds |
|---|---|
| Desert Gate | +120 |
| Kristofferson | +225 |
| Civil Liberty | +800 |
| Intrepido | +800 |
| Plutarch | +900 |
| Balboa | +2000 |
Latest odds taken from an offshore sportsbooks, and correct as of 10/02/25.
American Pharoah Stakes Recent Winners
| Year | Winning Horse |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Citizen Bull |
| 2023 | Muth |
| 2022 | Cave Rock |
| 2021 | Corniche |
| 2020 | Get Her Number |
ALSO SEE: Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe Picks, Odds, and Preview (Oct 5)
Race Preview
The G1 American Pharoah Stakes has been a standout date in the diary for juveniles throughout history, with memorable winners including American Pharoah, Bolt d’Oro, and Nyquist. The field will compete across a distance of 1 1/16 miles on the dirt at Santa Anita, with the victor securing their spot in the Juvenile at next month’s Breeders’ Cup.
It is hard to dismiss Bob Baffert’s record in this race, with the trainer having won the last four editions of the American Pharoah Stakes. Desert Gate will be one of four in the race for Baffert this year, and the two-year-old has looked incredibly progressive after winning two from three career starts. He was last seen finishing a close second to Brant in the G1 Del Mar Futurity.
Intrepido could also be an interesting angle this weekend. The Jeff Mullins runner was an excellent winner over a mile at Del Mar in August, beating Plutarch, who once again re-opposes this weekend.
Civil Liberty is a very interesting contender from the Doug O’Neill yard, but the two-year-old has form to find on Desert Gate. He was last seen finishing third, and three lengths behind his re-opposing rival. However, the step up in distance should be beneficial to his chances.
American Pharoah Stakes Picks
Baffert likely holds the key to this race, but his unexposed Kristofferson could be the value angle. The progressive two-year-old was an excellent winner over six furlongs at Del Mar last month, beating Mr A. P. by a length. Further improvement is expected from this son of Nyquist now up in distance.
Free Pick:
Horse Racing
More Predictions
Woodbine Picks Today: Best Bets for Saturday, Nov 7
Best bet: Lupa, Race 7 (+100 ML) Value pick: Ultimate Authority, Race 10 (+800 ML) Claim Your $25 Risk-Free Horse Racing Bet at BetOnline Every race day at Woodbine, we handicap the full card and give you a pick in every race, plus a best bet and a value selection the morning line might have […]
AAlex Dudley 4 min read
Belmont Park Picks Today: Best Bets for Saturday, Nov 7
Best bet: Ted Noffey, Race 8 (+160) Value pick: Iron Orchard, Race 9 (+1200) Claim Your $25 Risk-Free Horse Racing Bet at BetOnline A busy afternoon of horse racing action at Belmont Park is set for Saturday, November 7, with four stakes races on the ten-race program. We have handicapped all races at Belmont Park […]
AAlex Dudley 5 min read
Del Mar Picks Today: Best Bets for Friday, Nov 6
Best bet: Jodi Bear, Race 6 (+300 ML) Value pick: Private Gem, Race 2 (+300 ML) Claim Your $25 Risk-Free Horse Racing Bet at BetOnline Whether it’s the summer meet or the fall meet, Del Mar always brings big fields and plenty of turf racing, and that means value for anyone willing to do the […]
AAlex Dudley 4 min read
Churchill Downs Picks Today: Best Bets for Saturday, Nov 7
Best bet: Lambeth, Race 8 (+180 ML) Value pick: Poster, Race 6 (+300 ML) Claim Your $25 Risk-Free Horse Racing Bet at BetOnline Every race day at Churchill Downs, we handicap the full card and give you a pick in every race, along with our best bets and the horses we think the morning line […]
AAlex Dudley 4 min read
Horse Racing Predictions Today: Best Bets for Churchill Downs, Charles Town, Parx and Horseshoe Indianapolis (Nov 4)
Best pick: Stanka (Horseshoe Indianapolis, Race 2) +160 Best value pick: Massachusetts (Churchill Downs, Race 7) +1000 Claim Your $25 Risk-Free Horse Racing Bet at BetOnline The dust may have settled on the 2026 Breeders’ Cup, but the horse racing action keeps coming thick and fast. Wednesday brings a 10-race card at Churchill Downs, while […]
AAlex Dudley 6 min read