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Expert prediction

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Pick, Odds, Trends & Preview (Oct 31)

  • Alex Dudley
  • Oct 20, 2025 at 7:44 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

The first big race on the turf at the Breeders’ Cup in 2025 will pit a talented field of two-year-olds against one another in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf. There will be an international feel to the race, as Aidan O’Brien chases a fourth straight victory in the Juvenile Turf. You can find the odds and our pick here.


Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Overview

  • When: Friday, October 31, 2025, at 8:25 PM ET
  • Where: Del Mar, California
  • How to Watch: USA/Peacock
  • Grade: Grade One
  • Distance: 1 Mile
  • Purse: $1 Million

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Odds

HorseOdds
Gstaad+175
Puerto Rico+450
Wild Desert+650
Final Score+900
Morris Dancer+900
Other Selections+1000 & Bigger

ALSO SEE: YellaWood 500 Picks, Odds, and Preview (Oct 19)


Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Trends

Assessing the trends could be an informative piece of research when betting on the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf. You can find some of the key stats below.

  • European trainers have won the last four editions of the Juvenile Turf, with Aidan O’Brien saddling the winner in each of the previous three.
  • The Prix Jean Luc Lagardere has been a notable prep, with each of the last two winners of the Juvenile Turf lining up in the French race.
  • Each of the last two winners of the race has been a favorite, while three of the four have been won by the market leader.

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Leading Contenders

As is typically the case with turf races during the Breeders’ Cup weekend, there will be a sizable European presence in the Juvenile Turf at Del Mar. It would be hard to overlook the favorite for Aidan O’Brien, as the Irish maestro chases a fourth straight victory in the race.

Gstaad has been consistent throughout the European season, finishing second in the G1 Prix Morny, and taking the runner-up spot in both of the G1 Vincent O’Brien National Stakes and the G1 Dewhurst Stakes. Has form that ties in with the very best juveniles in Europe, and is more than capable of making his presence felt.

Puerto Rico is another runner from the O’Brien yard worth considering in the Juvenile Turf. The two-year-old was an excellent winner of the G1 Lagadere at Longchamp at the start of October. Will stay a mile with few issues, and looks to be the improving sort if bringing his A-game on faster ground.

Charlie Appleby will also have a runner in the Juvenile Turf. Wild Desert has already run with credit in North America this year, taking second over a mile at Woodbine in the G1 Summer Stakes. Is slightly less solid compared to the O’Brien duo on his European form.

Final Score is expected to be the leading American hope for the Todd Pletcher yard. He has won on each of his three starts on the turf, including most recently when landing the G2 Bourbon at Keeneland. Excels over further than a mile, meaning that his stamina could be an interesting angle.


Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Pick

The top two in the betting appear to be clear of the field on all available form. The fact that each of the last two winners of the Juvenile Turf has run in the G1 Lagadere makes Puerto Rico an interesting selection.

Free Pick:

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