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Expert prediction

Horse Racing Picks: Melbourne Cup Prediction, Preview, and Odds (Nov 6)

  • Alex Dudley
  • Nov 6, 2023 at 3:42 AM EST

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • The prestigious Melbourne Cup takes place at Flemington, Australia, in the late hours of Monday
  • This race has been staged annually since 1861

The race that ā€˜stops the nation’ in Australia takes place in the late hours of Monday evening in the United States. It is a race that is steeped in history, with millions watching the handicap on an annual basis. This year will be no different, with just over A$8.4 million available in prize money.


Schedule and How To Watch

  • When: Monday, November 6, 2023 at 11:00 p.m. ET
  • Where: Flemington Racecourse, Melbourne, Australia
  • How To Watch: FanDuel TV

Melbourne Cup Odds

HorseOdds
Vauban+340
Without A Fight+600
Gold Trip+700
Soulcombe+900
Absurde+900
Lastotchka+1600
Future History+1800
Military Mission+2500

Latest Melbourne Cup odds are taken from an offshore sportsbook.


Race Preview

There are few races on the international schedule that are more exciting than the Melbourne Cup. The race stops the nation of Australia, as millions rush to their television screens to watch one of the most culturally important events on the Aussie calendar. The race has been staged annually since 1861, with legendary winners including Makybe Diva, Think Big, and Peter Pan.

This race is a handicap, meaning that the weight carried by each runner will be determined by their past performances. A total distance of 3,200 meters will be covered on the turf at Flemington, with horses aged three and older able to take part in the signature race of the Melbourne Spring Racing Carnival.

READ More: F1 Picks: Las Vegas Grand Prix Prediction, Preview, and Odds (Nov 19)

Willie Mullins is a trainer synonymous with the jumps in the United Kingdom and Ireland, and his best chance of winning the race comes in 2023 with Vauban. Ryan Moore will take the ride after an excellent Breeders’ Cup, and the five-year-old has excelled on the flat since finishing fourth in the G1 Champion Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival. A repeat performance of his excellent win in the Copper Horse Handicap would put him bang there.

Absurde was second on that day, and the Mullins-runner could be an excellent chance after his win in the Ebor Handicap. Gold Trip could be the best for the home side after winning two from three at this track, including his victory in the Melbourne Cup in 2022. Without A Fight also holds excellent claims after dominant wins in Brisbane’s Winter Carnival. The low-drawn horses merit all the respect in this high-quality renewal. Ā 


Melbourne Cup Prediction

I am so high up on Vauban’s chances this week, and the Mullins runner should take all the beating after being drawn low. Stablemate Absurde merits respect, while each-way chances can be found with Alenquer and Magical Lagoon.

Free Pick:

  • Win:
  • Outsiders: Alenquer/Magical Lagoon

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