Expert prediction
Indiana Derby Picks – Horse Racing Odds, Betting Preview, and Predictions (Jul 11)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- When: Saturday, July 11, 2026 @ 6:40 PM ET
- Where: Horseshoe Indianapolis, Indiana
- How to Watch: FanDuel TV
The biggest race day of the season at Horseshoe Indianapolis is set for this Saturday, as a talented field of horses aged three contests the G3 Indiana Derby. You can find the odds and our picks for the race here.
Indiana Derby Odds
| Horse | Odds |
|---|---|
| Desert Gate | +250 |
| Out Of The Woods | +350 |
| Our Moneyman | +400 |
| Leading Change | +500 |
| Creole Chrome | +600 |
| Bricklin | +800 |
| Zihnal | +1200 |
| Lighter | +2000 |
Latest odds taken from an Offshore Sportsbook.
Race Information & Records
| Stat | Information |
|---|---|
| Race Distance | 1 1/16 Miles |
| Purse | $300,000 |
| Most Successful Trainer | Bob Baffert (4) |
| Most Successful Jockey | Florent Geroux, Robby Albarado (3) |
ALSO SEE: World Cup 2026: Our Experts Share Their World Cup Picks
Indiana Derby: Recent Winners
- 2025– Tip Top Thomas (John Velazquez/Todd Pletcher)
- 2024– Dragoon Guard (Florent Geroux/Brad Cox)
- 2023– Verifying (Marcelino Pedroza/Brad Cox)
- 2022– Actuator (James Graham/Michael McCarthy)
- 2021– Mr Wireless (Ramon Vazquez/Bret Calhoun)
Indiana Derby: Betting Preview
As is typically the case, the Indiana Derby looks set to be an interesting renewal in 2026. A field of nine horses will line-up in the gates, with many of the top contenders having something to prove.
Bob Baffert’s excellent record in the race ensures that Desert Gate should be respected. The three-year-old showed signs as a juvenile of being special, taking second in consecutive Grade Ones such as the Del Mar Futurity and American Pharoah. However, despite impressively winning the Texas Derby in May, he will have questions to answer this weekend following a fourth-place finish in the G3 Ohio Derby.
Philip D’Amato’s Out Of The Woods is a very interesting contender after winning twice from five starts this term. The Constitution colt showed an excellent finishing effort when second in the Delaware Derby, and has twice clocked excellent speed figures when winning at Oaklawn and Churchill Downs since the start of April.
Brad Cox and Irad Ortiz join forces with Leading Change this weekend. The Gun Runner colt could be absolutely anything at this stage, but it was hard not to have been impressed by his maiden win at Churchill Downs last month. He’s well worth a go in this company.
Bricklin has been somewhat of a frustrating horse for the yard, and he will need to get his career back on track to feature this weekend. Creole Chrome is more than capable of fighting for places. Meanwhile, Our Moneyman could be interesting after his second in the G3 Matt Winn Stakes last month.
Indiana Derby Picks
At a big price, Zihnal could be a fascinating contender for the Jonathan Thomas and Umberto Rispoli combination this weekend. Nothing went to plan for the Quality Road colt when ninth at Churchill Downs in May, but his speed figures have largely been consistent. Previous winning form at Horseshoe is also a major plus, clocking an Equibase rating of 89 last month. Could be overpriced in a wide-open race.
Free Pick:
Horse Racing
More Predictions
Woodbine Picks Today: Best Bets for Saturday, Nov 7
Best bet: Lupa, Race 7 (+100 ML) Value pick: Ultimate Authority, Race 10 (+800 ML) Claim Your $25 Risk-Free Horse Racing Bet at BetOnline Every race day at Woodbine, we handicap the full card and give you a pick in every race, plus a best bet and a value selection the morning line might have […]
Belmont Park Picks Today: Best Bets for Saturday, Nov 7
Best bet: Ted Noffey, Race 8 (+160) Value pick: Iron Orchard, Race 9 (+1200) Claim Your $25 Risk-Free Horse Racing Bet at BetOnline A busy afternoon of horse racing action at Belmont Park is set for Saturday, November 7, with four stakes races on the ten-race program. We have handicapped all races at Belmont Park […]
Del Mar Picks Today: Best Bets for Friday, Nov 6
Best bet: Jodi Bear, Race 6 (+300 ML) Value pick: Private Gem, Race 2 (+300 ML) Claim Your $25 Risk-Free Horse Racing Bet at BetOnline Whether it’s the summer meet or the fall meet, Del Mar always brings big fields and plenty of turf racing, and that means value for anyone willing to do the […]
Churchill Downs Picks Today: Best Bets for Saturday, Nov 7
Best bet: Lambeth, Race 8 (+180 ML) Value pick: Poster, Race 6 (+300 ML) Claim Your $25 Risk-Free Horse Racing Bet at BetOnline Every race day at Churchill Downs, we handicap the full card and give you a pick in every race, along with our best bets and the horses we think the morning line […]
Horse Racing Predictions Today: Best Bets for Churchill Downs, Charles Town, Parx and Horseshoe Indianapolis (Nov 4)
Best pick: Stanka (Horseshoe Indianapolis, Race 2) +160 Best value pick: Massachusetts (Churchill Downs, Race 7) +1000 Claim Your $25 Risk-Free Horse Racing Bet at BetOnline The dust may have settled on the 2026 Breeders’ Cup, but the horse racing action keeps coming thick and fast. Wednesday brings a 10-race card at Churchill Downs, while […]