Expert prediction
MLB: Guardians vs Red Sox Odds, and Picks (Apr 28)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- The Guardians defeated the Rockies, 4-1, on Wednesday.
- Boston fell 6-2 to the Orioles, losing 2 out of 3 games.
- Cleveland is 1064-1004 in their all-time history against the Red Sox.
Cleveland (12-13) and Boston (13-13) take each other on in a key AL bout. Both teams sit around the .500 mark, aiming to climb into contention. They are in uneven divisions, with the AL East being much tougher.
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How to Watch
- Where: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
- When: Friday, April 28, 2023, at 7:10 p.m ET
- How to Watch: Bally Sports
Odds
| Team | Moneyline |
| Guardians | |
| Red Sox |
Game Preview
Cleveland bounced back with a key win against the Rockies, avoiding the sweep. They’ve gone 3-7 over their last 10 games, but remain in 2nd place in a putrid AL Central division. The Guardians got a great first career start from rookie pitcher Tanner Bibee against the Rockies on Wednesday. He pitched 5.2 innings, giving up just 1 run and striking out 8 batters. They’ll aim to build on that momentum against the Red Sox.
The Red Sox continued their .500 play, trading wins and losses over their last 6 games. They’ve gone 5-5 in their last 10, and sit at 13-13 on the season. All Boston needs is one extended winning streak to climb into contention, but they currently sit in last place in a brutal AL East division. They’re 5-1 against the bad AL Central so far this season, and will have a chance to further build on that record against the Guardians.
Prediction
It’s a bit surprising to see the Red Sox as the underdogs at home in this game. While it’s true that they weren’t very good last season, they’ve played relatively well against a tough schedule, though they went 0-7 against the 20-5 Rays and 18-8 Pirates. With the Guardians and their entire division struggling against the AL East, I don’t see them claiming a road win here, despite a slight pitching advantage. I’ll take Boston.
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