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Expert prediction

MLB: Mariners vs Blue Jays Odds, and Picks (Apr 28)

  • Keith McCarthy
  • Apr 27, 2023 at 5:27 PM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • The Mariners were blanked by the Phillies, losing 1-0.
  • Toronto continued to surge with an 8-0 win over Chicago.
  • The Blue Jays are 217-204 in their all-time history against Seattle.

Seattle (11-14) and Toronto (16-9) will meet for an interesting AL matchup. The Mariners have started slow after a strong season last year, and will attempt to bounce back against the surging Blue Jays in this game.

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How to Watch

  • Where: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
  • When: Friday, April 28, 2023, at 7:07 p.m ET
  • How to Watch: Root Sports

Odds

TeamMoneyline
Mariners
Blue Jays

Game Preview

Seattle lost 1-0 against the Phillies on Wednesday, struggling to produce on offense. Catcher Tom Murphy accounted for the starting lineup’s only two hits, with pinch hitter Tommy La Stella picking up the team’s third and final hit of the game. The Mariners futile offensive performance wasted a great game by George Kirby, who gave up just 1 run and 5 baserunners in 8 IP. They’ll look to bounce back against the Blue Jays.

The Blue Jays have now won 4 straight games, outscoring their opponents 25-3 in that span. They flipped their run differential from -7 to +14 in that stretch, continuing to climb the standings. They still have much work to do in a tough AL East, where they currently sit in 3rd place at 16-9. Toronto is aiming to return to the playoffs for the 3rd time in the last 4 years, still seeking their first World Series appearance since 1993.


Prediction

The Blue Jays have been scorching hot lately, which it makes it difficult to bet against them, but also makes them due for a lackluster performance. If that’s going to happen at all, it could certainly come against the Mariners’ ace in Luis Castillo (1.52 ERA). Meanwhile, Toronto will be starting an inconsistent Alek Manoah (5.13 ERA). I see Seattle earning a very solid road win here, but eventually losing the series.

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