Expert prediction
Marlins vs Cubs Odds, and Picks
- Keith McCarthy
- May 5, 2023 at 6:59 PM EDT
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- The Marlins were defeated by the Cubs, 4-1, on Friday.
- Chicago returned to a record of .500 with the win.
- The Cubs are 117-114 in their all-time history against Miami.
The Marlins (16-17) and the Cubs (16-16) face off in a key NL clash. Both teams are hanging around .500, and attempting to stay afloat. A new win or loss streak here could determine the direction of their seasons.
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How to Watch
- Where: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
- When: Saturday, May 6, 2023, at 2:20 p.m ET
- How to Watch: MLB Network
Game Preview
Miami dropped back below .500 following Friday’s loss to the Cubs. Their extremely streaky season continues, as they fight to maintain a decent position in the NL East division. The Marlins started the year out 4-7, before heating up and going 8-2 over their next 10 games, improving to 12-9. Since then, they’ve lost 4 straight, won 4 straight, and now once again have lost 4 in a row. Miami needs pitching consistency.
Batazo Gigante from el Cubano Gigante. pic.twitter.com/7rm99mEUgt
— Miami Marlins (@Marlins) May 4, 2023
The Cubs have also been quite streaky this season. They surprised many people when they jumped out to a confident 12-7 start, but have gone just 4-9 since then. Prior to Friday’s win against the Marlins, Chicago had lost 3 of 4 games to the bottom-dwelling Nationals and were swept in 3 games by Miami. They need to take advantage of being back at home and pick up some wins before another brutal road stretch starts.
First major league hit ✅
— Chicago Cubs (@Cubs) May 5, 2023
First major league RBI ✅
Welcome to The Show, @mmervis12! pic.twitter.com/qu2VbC6QNa
Prediction
The Marlins have the advantage of being 3-1 against the Cubs so far this season, but all 3 of the wins came at home, and the loss was the most recent game in Chicago. Though this matchup could go either way, I’d look to the pitching matchup for a good indication of the potential winner. Chicago’s Drew Smyly (2.83 ERA) should have a notable advantage over Miami’s Bryan Hoeing (6.23 ERA). I’ll take the Cubs here.
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