Expert prediction
MLB: Padres vs Diamondbacks Odds, and Picks (Apr 20)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- The Padres won a tight, 1-0, game against the Braves.
- Arizona took a bad loss against St. Louis, losing 14-5.
- The Diamondbacks are 230-213 in their all-time history against San Diego.
San Diego (9-11) and Arizona (11-8) face off in an NL West rivalry match. The Diamondbacks are seeking to remain in 1st place, while the Padres are a half of a game out of 2nd place. This series will be crucial.
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How to Watch
- Where: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
- When: Thursday, April 20, 2023, at 9:40 p.m ET
- How to Watch: Bally Sports
Odds
| Team | Moneyline |
| Padres | |
| Diamondbacks |
Game Preview
San Diego shut out the Braves in a 1-0 victory on Wednesday, avoiding the sweep. They slid into 3rd place in the NL West last week, after going 2-7 in the 9 games prior to their narrow 1-0 victory. The Padres will aim to build on the momentum of that win, facing an uphill battle against the division-leading Diamondbacks on the road. They’ve gotten some great games from SS Xander Bogaerts so far (.342 BA).
The Diamondbacks had their 3-game winning streak snapped by the Cardinals on Wednesday, giving up 14 runs in the loss. Madison Bumgarner continued to struggle, giving up 7 ER in just 3 IP. His ERA rose to 10.26 ERA, before he was relieved by Peter Solomon (12.27 ERA), who gave 7 ER of his own in 2.1 IP. Despite their collapse in that game, Arizona has started the season hot, and will aim to get back on track.
Prediction
It’s a bit surprising to see the Diamondbacks as the underdogs in this game. Sure, entering this season (and last season) the Padres were a much better team, but a lot changes every season. So far this year, Arizona has been playing the better baseball, and also has home-field advantage in this game. They’ll be starting Ryne Nelson (3.71 ERA), who has the advantage over Michael Wacha (6.06 ERA). I’ll take Arizona.
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