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Expert prediction

Rays vs Mets Odds, and Prop Bets (May 18)

  • Keith McCarthy
  • May 17, 2023 at 7:35 PM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • The Rays still lead all of Major League Baseball, at 32-11.
  • New York continues to slide, falling to 20-23 on the year.
  • Tampa Bay is 17-14 in their all-time history against the Mets.

The Rays and Mets match up in an interleague bout. Tampa Bay holds a large lead over the competition, but has cooled off a bit lately. The Mets are trying to stay afloat. There are some key bets on both sides.


How to Watch

  • Where: Citi Field, Queens, NY
  • When: Thursday, May 18, 2023, at 1:10 p.m ET
  • How to Watch: SNY

Prop Bets

Prop BetOdds
Tommy Pham Over 0.5 Hits
Tommy Pham Under 0.5 Hits

Prediction:

Tommy Pham has had a brutal start to this season. Through 29 games, he’s hitting just .188 at the plate. In the past month, he’s hitting .121, and he’s currently 0 for 10 over the last week. Pham is a capable player that will eventually break out of this slump, but his under odds are too good to pass up with the way he’s been playing. Against the MLB’s toughest team in the Rays, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Pham go 0-for.

Pick:


Prop BetOdds
Taj Bradley Over 6.5 Ks
Taj Bradley Under 6.5 Ks

Prediction:

22-year-old Taj Bradley has had a great start to his rookie season with the Rays. Through 3 games, he’s pitched to a 3.52 ERA, making it through about 5 innings pitched each time. Bradley doesn’t have the greatest length yet, but he’s efficient with strikeouts in those 5 innings he gets. He totaled 6 strikeouts against the Astros in his last start, but 8 and 9 in the two games prior. I like his chances of hitting the over.

MLB, Baseball Herren, USA Houston Astros at Tampa Bay Rays St. Petersburg, FL USA Tampa Bay Rays starting pitcher Taj Bradley 45 delivers a pitch during an MLB game against the Houston Astros on Monday, April 24, 2023 at Tropicana Field. The Rays beat the Astros 8-3 and extended their home opening win streak to 14. Kim Hukari/Image of Sipa USA St. Petersburg Tropicana Field Florida USA NOxUSExINxGERMANY PUBLICATIONxINxALGxARGxAUTxBRNxBRAxCANxCHIxCHNxCOLxECUxEGYxGRExINDxIRIxIRQxISRxJORxKUWxLIBxLBAxMLTxMEXxMARxOMAxPERxQATxKSAxSUIxSYRxTUNxTURxUAExUKxVENxYEMxONLY Copyright: xImagexofxSportx Editorial use only
IMAGO/Sipa USA

Pick:


Prop BetOdds
Starling Marte Over 0.5 RBIs
Starling Marte Under 0.5 RBIs

Prediction:

Starling Marte hasn’t had the greatest start to this season, batting a mediocre .236, with a .582 OPS. That being said, Marte has begun to heat up as of late. Over the past week, he’s gone 10 for 28 (.357) with 2 RBIs. I don’t feel as confident in this prop as the previous two, but it offers solid odds with upside for a hot player. I’d consider the over for Marte on both hits and RBIs in this game. He should continue his hot play.

Pick:

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