Expert prediction
UFC 310: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Kai Asakura Prediction, Odds, and Picks (December 7)
- Annie Adkins
- Dec 2, 2024 at 4:05 AM EST
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
Alexandre Pantoja vs. Kai Asakura is the headliner fight of UFC 310, an event that will take place at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Saturday, December 7.
Who’s going to win this fight? Judging by the UFC 310 odds, it’s going to be the defending champ, Pantoja.
What do we think will happen? For that, you’ll have to read this Pantoja vs. Asakura preview until the end.
Alexandre Pantoja vs. Kai Asakura Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Alexandre Pantoja | -270 |
| Kai Asakura | +230 |
When, Where, and How to Watch?
- Place: T-Mobile Arena, Paradise, Nevada
- Date: Saturday, December 7, 2024
- Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
- How to Watch: PPV
Fight Preview
Kai Asakura is making his UFC debut this coming Saturday. If you’re wondering why Dana White decided to give him a title shot, it’s because the 31-year-old Japanese fighter is 21-4 overall in his professional career, with most of those wins (13) happening by a KO/TKO.
He’s one of the biggest martial arts stars in Asia, famous for his incredible striking. Asakura is a former Rizin champ, who fought in the bantamweight division for five years before deciding to go down to the flyweight class for the first time since 2017.
Alexandre Pantoja has defeated many of the top UFC flyweights en route to the title 🏆#UFC310 | Saturday, Dec. 7 | 10 PM ET | ESPN+ PPV 🍿 https://t.co/XX1YuUOYuv pic.twitter.com/fl5HynmaIy
— ESPN MMA (@espnmma) November 30, 2024
Asakura’s first flyweight fight in seven years will be against a guy who’s fought the who’s who of this division. Alexandre Pantoja is 28-5, with wins over such elite opponents as Brandon Moreno, Brandon Royval, and others.
He’s on a 6-fight winning streak, with his last three wins happening in title fights. In each of those he won by decision, each time after a real battle in the Octagon that lasted for the full 25 minutes.
Speaking of fights going the distance, each of his five losses happened that way. So, the big question is can Asakura inflict Pantoja his first-ever KO loss?
Alexandre Pantoja vs. Kai Asakura Prediction
It’s no surprise that Pantoja is seen as the favorite in the UFC 310 main event. He’s a much more well-rounded fighter than Asakura, whose No. 1 focus is striking. But we doubt the Japanese fighter will be able to make anything out of his striking, let alone beat Pantoja by a KO.
READ ALSO: UFC 310: Ciryl Gane vs. Alexander Volkov Preview, Odds, Prediction
Instead, our prediction is that, despite doing well in the first couple of rounds, Asakura will get jaded, which Pantoja will take advantage of. He might not finish him, but he will probably land just enough strikes and takedowns in the final two rounds to secure himself another win by decision.
Free Pick:
- Alexandre Pantoja by Decision
MMA
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