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UFC 304: Paddy Pimblett vs. Bobby Green Prediction, Odds, and Picks (July 27)

  • Annie Adkins
  • Jul 18, 2024 at 10:00 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • The Paddy Pimblett vs. Bobby Green odds promise a real battle at UFC 304.
  • Paddy The Baddy is fighting his first ranked opponent on July 27.
  • Bobby King Green is fighting his 50th professional MMA fight.

Is it time for Paddy ‘The Baddy’ Pimblett to take that huge leap forward and beat his first ranked opponent? The No. 15 in the UFC Lightweight Rankings Bobby King Green is determined to ruin the party for the Liverpudlian. How things stand, the American fighter will have the crowd on his side.

 The thing is that English fans, who’ll come in swarms to Manchester’s Co-op Live to watch Leon Edwards in the main event and Tom Aspinall in the co-main event, aren’t too keen on Pimblett. One of the reasons is that he recently filmed himself cheering for Spain in the Euro 2024 Final.

Tom Aspinall vs. Curtis Blaydes UFC 304 Odds

MoneylineOdds
Paddy The Baddy+109
Bobby King Green-129

When, Where, and How to Watch?

  • Place: Co-op Live, Manchester, England
  • Date: Saturday, July 27, 2024
  • Time: ~9:00 p.m. ET
  • How to Watch: PPV

Fight Preview

Paddy Pimblett is 21-3 overall with 15 finishes. Three of those happened in his first three UFC fights, for each of which he won the Performance of the Night bonus. But then, he got to fight two tougher opponents.

First, he went inside the Octagon with Jared Gordon and won the fight by decision, even though many fans and pundits thought he didn’t deserve the win. Then, last December, he fought the fading legend Tony Ferguson, beating him by another decision. It was El Cucuy’s 7th loss in a row.

Now, he’s meant to fight his toughest rival so far. The man in question is Bobby King Green. Sure, he’s an aging fighter who’s turning 38 in two months. However, he seems to be in his prime.

He won three of his last four fights, winning the Performance of the Night bonus for two of those. The first of those bonuses was for the submission win over Tony Ferguson. The second was for the KO win against Grant Dawson in the 33rd second of the fight.

READ ALSO: UFC 304: Tom Aspinall vs. Curtis Blaydes Prediction, Odds, and Picks (July 27)

In his most recent fight, he went to war with another veteran Jim Miller. The fight lasted for the full 15 minutes, and Green landed 186 significant strikes – his second-highest number ever.

Paddy Pimblett vs. Bobby Green Prediction

We doubt either of these can get a finish at UFC 304. Instead, this will probably be a striking duel, which we think Bobby Green will win.

Free Pick:

  • Bobby Green

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