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UFC Edmonton: Derrick Lewis vs. Jhonata Diniz Prediction, Odds, and Picks (November 2)

  • Annie Adkins
  • Oct 30, 2024 at 7:10 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

Our Derrick Lewis vs. Jhonata Diniz prediction is that someone’s gonna get put to sleep on November 2 in Edmonton. Who will it be? UFC Fight Night 246 odds suggest “The Black Beast” will lose. What do we think? To find out the answer, just keep reading this betting preview.

Derrick Lewis vs. Jhonata Diniz Odds

FighterOdds
Derrick Lewis+145
Jhonata Diniz-170

When, Where, and How to Watch?

  • Place: Rogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta, CA
  • Date: Saturday, November 2, 2024
  • Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
  • How to Watch: ESPN+

Fight Preview

Derrick Lewis is the UFC record-holder for the most wins by knockout/technical knockout with 15. Overall, he’s got 23 wins by this method, along with four wins by decision and one by submission. When it comes to his losses, seven happened by KO/TKO, three by decision, and two by submission.

Three years ago, he got a chance to fight for the interim title but lost to Cyril Gane. Since then, he’s turned into a gatekeeper of the heavyweight division. He probably won’t get another shot at the title, but he’ll serve as security that decides who gets in.

In his most recent fight, he denied entry to the VIP heavyweight club to Rodrigo Nascimento, beating him by a TKO. Is he going to do something similar to Jhonata Diniz?

READ ALSO: UFC Edmonton: Erin Blanchfield vs. Rose Namajunas Prediction, Odds, and Picks (November 2)

The UFC Fight Night 246 odds suggest that the 33-year-old Brazilian is going to beat Lewis on Saturday. The main reason is that Diniz is 8-0 overall with seven wins by KO/TKO. The Dana white’s Contender Series product used to fight professionally in Muay Thai, where his record was 22-7.


Derrick Lewis vs. Jhonata Diniz Prediction

Diniz has amazing leg kicks, and is very fast, which makes him very tough to hit. But if Lewis hits him properly, it’s game over for the Brazilian. So, will this happen? It might, but we think the other alternative is more likely to happen – Diniz out-striking Lewis and winning by decision.

Free Pick

  • Jhonata Diniz by Decision

MMA

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