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Expert prediction

UFC on ESPN 54: Vicente Luque vs. Joaquin Buckley Prediction, Odds, and Picks (Mar 30)

  • Annie Adkins
  • Mar 27, 2024 at 9:33 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • The Vicente Luque vs. Joaquin Buckley odds suggest a close battle on Saturday, March 30.
  • Vicente Luque is a well-rounded fighter whose weakness is that he gets hit a lot.
  • Joaquin Buckley is a knockout expert who’s powerful enough to KO almost any opponent.

Vicente Luque vs. Joaquin Buckley will serve as the co-main event of UFC on ESPN 54, which is taking place at Boardwalk Hall in Atlantic City, New Jersey, on Saturday, March 30, 2024.

Vicente Luque was originally meant to fight Sean Brady at UFC on ESPN 54, but his opponent pulled out of the fight. Joaquin Buckley stepped in as his replacement, even though he didn’t have time for a full camp.

Nevertheless, Luque vs. Buckley odds are pretty close, suggesting we’re going to witness a real thriller in AC.


How to Watch

  • When: Saturday, March 30, 2024, at ~9:00 p.m. ET
  • Where: Boardwalk Hall, Atlantic City, New Jersey
  • How to Watch: ESPN

Odds

FighterOdds
Vicente Luque-115
Joaquin Buckley-115

Fight Preview

Vicente Luque (22-9-1) is a well-rounded fighter with a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu and an amazing set of striking skills. He lands 5.17 significant strikes per minute, which is significantly more than what his next opponents tends to do.

What needs to worry Luque is that he also gets hit very often. He absorbs 5.15 significant strikes per minute.

The reason why this could be a big problem for the Silent Assassin in the UFC on ESPN 54 co-main event is that Joaquin Buckley is a knockout expert. This guy is 17-6 overall with 12 wins by KO/TKO.

READ ALSO: UFC on ESPN 54: Erin Blanchfield vs. Manon Fiorot Prediction, Odds, and Picks (Mar 30)

His most recent win by this method happened last year when he made his comeback to the welterweight division after spending several years in the middleweight division. He’s 2-0 since coming back to the 170lb division. Can he add another win to the list on March 30?


Vicente Luque vs. Joaquin Buckley Prediction

Joaquin Buckley is someone who can finish literally any opponent in the division. He’s a fantastic striker who’s got incredible power. That said, we can definitely see him put Vicente Luque to sleep on Saturday.

Free Pick:

  • Joaquin Buckley

MMA

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