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UFC Vegas 81 Preview: Michel Pereira vs. Andre Petroski Prediction, Odds, and Picks (Oct 14)

  • Annie Adkins
  • Oct 10, 2023 at 5:53 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Marc-Andre Barriault is out of UFC Vegas 81; Michel Pereira vs. Andre Petroski is on!
  • Pereira vs. Petroski odds suggest the Brazilian fighter is more likely to win on October 14.
  • Pereira has fought only one UFC fighter with a takedown average of over 1.00; Petroski lands 4.56 TDs on average.

Michel Pereira was originally meant to fight Marc-Andre Barriault on Saturday, October 14, but the Canadian fighter pulled out last week, some 10 days before UFC Vegas 81. Andre Petroski stepped in to save the day, just two months after beating Gerald Meerschaert by a split decision. Can he grab another win? Let’s find out!


How to Watch

  • When: Saturday, October 14, 2023, at 10:00 p.m ET
  • Where: UFC Apex, Vegas, Nevada
  • How to Watch: ESPN+

Odds

FighterOdds
Michel Pereira
Andre Petroski

Fight Preview

When UFC Vegas 81 odds were released, Michael Pereira was a -120 against Marc-Andre Barriault. After getting a new opponent for October 14, Pereira’s odds have moved to -140 at some betting sites. The main reason is that Andre Petroski just hasn’t had much time to prepare for the bout.

But neither has Pereira – he was preparing for a fight against a knockout expert, but now he’s locking horns with a fighter who’s more well-rounded than Barriault.

Petroski is 10-1 overall with his only loss happening before he moved to the UFC. In Dana White’s promotion, he’s 5-0 with three finishes. This guy is landing 3.68 strikes per minute in the UFC, while also making 4.56 takedowns per fight on average.

READ ALSO: UFC Vegas 81 Preview: Jennifer Maia vs. Viviane Araujo Prediction, Odds, and Picks (Oct 14)

Pereira is 16-6-1 in his professional career, with 10 of his wins happening by a knockout/technical knockout. Striking is his strongest weapon – he’s landing 5.09 incredibly powerful strikes per minute.

Further, his takedown defense is 94%, which is among the best in the entire UFC. However, there’s an explanation for this. Only one of his eight opponents in the UFC had a TD average of over 1.00.


Michael Pereira vs. Andre Petroski Prediction

The Pereira vs. Petroski odds suggest that the Brazilian fighter will win at UFC Vegas 81, but we’re not so sure about that. The thing is that Petroski is just so good when it comes to wrestling that he’s almost certainly going to take Pereira down. And once he puts him down to the ground, it shouldn’t be too difficult for Petroski to finish his opponent.

Free Pick:

MMA

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