Expert prediction
NBA Player Props, Breakdown, Odds, and Picks (May 11)
- Annie Adkins
- May 11, 2023 at 5:32 AM EDT
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- The 76ers need Joel Embiid to get into demolition mode tonight against the Celtics.
- Nikola Jokic to help the Nuggets beat the Suns in Phoenix for the first time since 2021.
The Philadelphia 76ers have a match point against the Boston Celtics tonight. They just need to win this evening and they’re through to the Conference Final. Exactly the same is the case with the Denver Nuggets against the Phoenix Suns.
Of course, winning is easier said than done, and for their dreams to come alive, their best players need to step up. We think they will – new NBA MVP Joel Embiid and ex-MVP Nikola Jokic are guaranteed to put on a show tonight.
Celtics vs 76ers
How to Watch:
- When: Thursday, May 11, 2023, at 7:30 p.m ET
- Where: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
- Channel: ESPN
Odds
Historical odds are unavailable. The original analysis is preserved.
Prop Pick
Joel Embiid is the 2023 MVP for a reason. He’s having a fantastic season, with his form keeps improving. In the last three games, he scored a total of 97 points or 32.33 PPG. We also saw him record 33 rebounds in those games, along with 10 assists.
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Now, his team needs him to do even better than before. With a superb performance by Embiid, the 76ers are almost certainly going to win tonight.
| NBA Player Props | Odds |
|---|---|
| Joel Embiid: Pts + Reb + Ast at least 45 |
Nuggets vs Suns
How to Watch:
- When: Thursday, May 11, 2023, at 10 p.m ET
- Where: Footprint Center, Phoenix, Arizona
- Channel: ESPN
Odds
Historical odds are unavailable. The original analysis is preserved.
Prop Pick
The Suns are coming home where they’re always great. Beating them is going to be a big challenge for the Nuggets. That’s something these guys haven’t done in a while. In fact, each of the last five Nuggets at Suns games played at Footprint Center was won by the home team.
Nikola Jokic sets the @nuggets record for points in a Playoff game in Game 4 👏
— NBA (@NBA) May 8, 2023
53 PTS
11 AST
20-30 FG
PHX/DEN Game 5 | Tues, 10pm/et | TNT pic.twitter.com/i952K7gdpe
The last time these two played in Arizona, the Nuggets did come relatively close to ending the disappointing run. They lost by just five points in Game 4. Nikola Jokic had a vintage performance that evening, putting away 53 points, four rebounds, and 11 assists. Although we doubt he’s going to score 50+ tonight, we’re certain he’s going to do well.
| NBA Player Prop | Odds |
|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic: Pts + Reb + Ast at least 53 |
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