Expert prediction
No. 1 Michigan vs No. 7 Purdue Preview, Odds, Predictions (Feb. 17)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- The Wolverines are on fire with 10 consecutive wins.
- The Boilermakers are rolling with a four-game winning streak.
- This marks the 172nd all-time meeting between the Big Ten programs.
The Big Ten has a ranked matchup on the horizon with the No. 1 Michigan Wolverines facing the No. 7 Purdue Boilermakers. The Wolverines enter the game as the slight favorite, knowing it will take a lot to beat a team that also used to have the top ranking in the AP Top 25.
MORE: Our tournament guide
How to Watch
- When: Tuesday, Feb. 17, 6:30 pm ET
- Where: Mackey Arena, West Lafayette, Indiana
- How to Watch: Peacock
NCAA Matchup Odds & Lines
| Team | Odds | Spread | Totals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan | -110 | -2.5 | O157.5 |
| Purdue | -110 | +2.5 | U157.5 |
Game Preview
Dusty May and the No. 1 Wolverines (23-1, 13-1 Big Ten) have taken over the top spot in the AP Top 25 after blowing out UCLA on the road and seeing Arizona lost in a stunning upset this past weekend. They have won 10 straight games in league play, proving their case as a serious contender for the national championship this season.
Yaxel Lendeborg may be due for a big matchup against Purdue, standing out as the top star. He has been averaging 14.4 points, 7.7 rebounds, 3.1 assists, 1.4 blocks, and 1.1 steals per game. On another note, Morez Johnson Jr. could have a solid role with averages of 13.6 points and 7.2 rebounds per contest.
The No. 7 Boilermakers (21-4, 11-3 Big Ten) are in solid rhythm as they show off their talent as one of the best squads in the country. They are rolling with four consecutive wins, beating the likes of Maryland, Oregon, ranked Nebraska, and Iowa.
Purdue ranks in the top 25 nationally in assist / turnover ratio (1st), offensive efficiency (2nd), assists per game (3rd), turnovers per game (14th), field goal percentage (16th), defensive efficiency (19th) and rebound margin (20th). Braden Smith continues to dominate as the star playmaker, producing 14.7 points and 8.9 assists per game. Meanwhile, Fletcher Loyer will look to flourish from downtown, making 64 3-pointers and counting this season.
Michigan vs Purdue Head-to-Head
The two programs have had 171 meetings in their history, and the result is 94-77 for the Boilermakers. The last matchup was in March 2025 when Michigan secured an 86-68 win during the conference tournament.
Michigan vs Purdue Predictions
Both teams will trade blows throughout the ranked matchup. The Wolverines and Boilermakers have the elite talent to keep the game close down the stretch, where they will need to make big plays to pull away. However, Michigan has ambitions that can pave the way for them to create the distance, especially if Lendeborg comes through with a big performance. Our betting pick here is for the Wolverines to defend a 2.5-point spread.
- Free NCAAB pick: Michigan Wolverines -2.5
NCAAB
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