Expert prediction
NCAAB: #5 San Diego State vs #4 UConn Odds, and Picks (Apr 3)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- San Diego State drained a buzzer beater to defeat FAU, advancing to the title game.
- UConn won by double-digits for the 5th time this tournament, surging to the finals.
- These two teams met once before, on March 24, 2011, in a game that UConn won 74-67.
San Diego State (32-6) and UConn (30-8) match up for a stellar national championship game. The Huskies are looking for their first title since 2014, while the Aztecs are competing in their first-ever finals game.
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How to Watch
- Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
- When: Monday, April 3, 2023, at 9:20 p.m ET
- How to Watch: CBS
Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread |
| San Diego State | +280 | +7.0 |
| UConn | -360 | -7.0 |
Game Preview
San Diego State won an absolute thriller against Florida Atlantic in their Final Four game. They trailed by 12 points with less than 15 minutes left in the game, before putting together the 5th-largest comeback in Final Four history to make it a close game down the stretch. The Aztecs never stopped fighting, trading baskets back-and-forth with the Owls before finally winning on a stunning buzzer beater by Lamont Butler.
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UConn continued their absolute domination, leading Miami from wire-to-wire, most of the time by double digits. The Huskies have won every single one of their NCAA Tournament games by double figures, something they also managed to do earlier on in the season when they rose to #1 in the rankings. Their defense once again shut down one of the nation’s top offenses with ease, while the offense kept surging.
Picks
Both San Diego State and UConn have had tremendous seasons, and are well deserving of a Finals appearance. The Aztecs took down the #1-overall seed in Alabama en route to their first-ever title game, while the Huskies won every single matchup by double digits. I picked UConn to win it all from the very start, and I’ll stick by that once more. I see the Huskies defense clamping down, earning them a 68-57 win.
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Spread:
NCAAB
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