Expert prediction
Texas State vs South Alabama Preview, Odds, Predictions (Feb. 19)
- Richard Pereira
- Feb 19, 2026 at 5:18 PM EST
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- The Bobcats are heating up with a six-game win streak.
- The Jaguars boast homecourt advantage with an 8-2 record.
- This marks the 21st all-time matchup between the two Sun Belt squads.
The Sun Belt will have an intriguing matchup between the Texas State Bobcats and the South Alabama Jaguars. The latter stands out as the slight favorite, but it is possible that an upset can take place in this conference duel.
How to Watch
- When: Thursday, Feb. 19, 8 pm ET
- Where: Mitchell Center, Mobile, Alabama
- How to Watch: ESPN+
NCAA Matchup Odds & Lines
| Team | Odds | Spread | Totals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State | -110 | +4.5 | O137 |
| South Alabama | -110 | -4.5 | U137 |
Game Preview
The Bobcats (17-11, 9-6 Sun Belt) are gaining important momentum as conference play winds down to March. They are rolling with six consecutive wins, recently taking down Troy and Louisiana-Monroe. DJ Hall leads the team with 15 points per game, putting up a career-high 27 points on Saturday. He also leads the team with 7.4 rebounds per game and is shooting a conference best 55.4% from the field.
The Jaguars (19-8, 9-5 Sun Belt) find themselves in the picture of the Sun Belt regular season title, competing with Troy, Marshall and Texas State. Having won three straight games, that streak recently came to an end after losing to Marshall. Chaze Harris won Sun Belt Conference Player of the Week honors earlier this week. Harris averaged 28.0 points, 4.5 assists, and three rebounds per game while shooting 60.7 percent from the field last week. He also leads the Sun Belt in scoring, averaging 18.5 points per game overall and 22.4 points in conference play.
Texas State vs South Alabama Head-to-Head
The two programs have had 20 meetings in their history, and the result is 13-7 for the Bobcats. The last matchup was in December 2025 when Texas State won 67-65 at home.
Texas State vs South Alabama Predictions
Either team can take this matchup, but it requires other factors to come into play. Both squads understand that winning this game will be impactful to their condition in the conference standings. However, Texas State has displayed solid form with its win streak and may continue it with an upset on the road over South Alabama. Our betting pick here is the Bobcats to cover a 4.5-point spread.
- Free NCAAB pick: Texas State Bobcats +4.5
NCAAB
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