Expert prediction
Super Bowl LVIII: San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs Prop Bet Odds & Picks (Feb 11)
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
The Super Bowl is the pinnacle of the NFL season, and the betting markets are almost inexhaustible as a result. From the length of the National Anthem to the color of the drink poured over the winning coach, there are a whole host of novelty prop bet lines out there, but more importantly there is some great value to be had in the game props. Here are our picks for Super Bowl 58.
Super Bowl 58 Prop Picks
Super Bowl MVP
Only once in the history of the NFL has a player from the losing team ever won Super Bowl MVP, that man was Chuck Howley of the Dallas Cowboys in Super Bowl V. So a bet on the MVP can be a great way of picking up better odds on the team you think will win the game.
| Christian McCaffrey |
McCaffrey is simply the best running back in the business, and the Chiefs have been susceptible to the running game this season. If the 49ers are to win then McCaffrey should be a huge part of their success, making his MVP chances great value.
| Brock Purdy | |
| Patrick Mahomes |
A quarterback has won the MVP award 32 times in total, making both teams’ men under center the shortest priced options.
Player Props
| Patrick Mahomes to throw 1+ Interception |
Mahomes has only thrown 14 picks this season, and the last of those came on Christmas Day against the Raiders, but this 49ers defense could pose him enough problems to make at least one interception a possibility here.
| Nick Bosa 1+ Sack |
Nick Bosa has 12.5 sacks this season, including 2 against the Lions in the NFC Championship game. Patrick Mahomes is a hard man to bring down, but if anyone is going to then Bosa seems the likely candidate.
| George Kittle 1+ TD Reception | |
| Rashee Rice 1+TD Reception |
Kittle has 7 receiving touchdowns this season, with 1 of those coming in the post season. With KC’s secondary likely tied up against Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk he may be a primary target for Brock Purdy here.
Rashee Rice has emerged as a key component of the Chiefs’ offense this season, he has 7 TDs so far and could add to that in the biggest game of his young career.
Parlays
| I. Pacheco 70+ Rushing Yards C. McCaffrey 90+ Rushing Yards T. Kelce 7+ Receptions D. Samuel 6+ Receptions |
Pacheco went over the 70 yard rushing mark on 7 occasions this season whilst McCaffrey surpassed 90 yards 11 times. Kelce has logged 7+ receptions 7 times so far this year and is integral to the Chief’s moving the ball. Deebo Samuel has only achieved 6+ receptions on 5 occasions in an injury hit season, but back at full health he should be a key target once again.
NFL
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