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Expert prediction

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Odds, and Picks (Sep 11)

  • Keith McCarthy
  • Sep 4, 2023 at 7:52 PM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Buffalo won 13 games last season, but came up short in the playoffs again.
  • The Jets are hoping a huge offseason will end their 12-year playoff drought.
  • These two teams last met on December 11, in a game that the Bills won 20-12.

The NFL season kicks off this week. Let’s preview the upcoming Bills vs Jets AFC East clash. Both teams are expected to make the playoffs, but don’t have much margin for error in the AFC. This first game is key.


How to Watch

  • ESPN/ABC

Preview

The Bills continued to look like one of the NFL’s best teams last year, but came up short in the playoffs. A stacked AFC conference has made it tough for Buffalo to advance, despite their regular season success. This season, the Bills are considered a candidate for minor regression, while playing in a stacked AFC East. Josh Allen can put both those discussions and the “Madden Curse” to rest with a win here over the Jets.

CINCINNATI, OH - JANUARY 02: Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen 17 looks to pass during the game against the Buffalo Bills and the Cincinnati Bengals on January 2, 2023, at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, OH. Photo by Ian Johnson/Icon Sportswire NFL, American Football Herren, USA JAN 02 Bills at Bengals Icon230102016
IMAGO/Icon SMI

New York holds the NFL’s longest playoff drought at 12 years. After taking a step forward last season thanks to a stellar 2022 draft class, the Jets went all in this offseason. They acquired QB Aaron Rodgers, RB Dalvin Cook, and WRs Allan Lazard, Randall Cobb, and Mecole Hardman. While New York’s offense has been fully revamped, it’s their defense that truly holds the keys to their success. They should be very solid.


Prediction

While I do believe the Jets will have a top-10 defense this season, I’m a bit less sold on their offense. I’m worried about Rodgers’ lack of mobility at his age. Behind an subpar offensive line, that could be a recipe for disaster. Because of that, I’m a bit wary of the Jets, placing them more in the 9-10 win range than 12-13 like others. Buffalo will be one of the toughest tests, and Josh Allen’s mobility is a very clear advantage.

NFL Picks:

  • Bills 24, Jets 20 ()

Market

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