Expert prediction
Falcons vs Buccaneers Prediction: Back the Under in an NFC South Battle of Run Defenses
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
Best bet: Under 46.5
Spread pick: Buccaneers -2.5
Straight-up pick: Buccaneers (-135)
Bet Falcons vs Buccaneers at BetUSTwo NFC South rivals under .500 meet in Tampa, with both the Falcons and Buccaneers coming off Week 7 wins and needing another to stay in the division race. Baker Mayfield is back for the Bucs, while Atlanta’s Bijan Robinson leads the NFL with 704 rushing yards.
You can see all of our NFL picks for Week 8, but here’s why I’m backing the under, and how you can bet on Falcons vs Buccaneers.
Sunday, Nov 1 · 1:00 PM ET · Raymond James Stadium · FOX
Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting Odds (BetUS)
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Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta comes in off a Week 7 win, and the offense runs through Bijan Robinson, who leads the NFL with 704 rushing yards. The Falcons have been just as strong on the other side of the ball against the run, with the fourth-best run defense in the league.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay also won in Week 7, and getting Baker Mayfield back is a big boost. The Bucs lean heavily on the ground game, averaging 144.6 rushing yards per game, and their run defense is among the best in the NFL.
Falcons vs Buccaneers Predictions
This might surprise some bettors after both teams were involved in high-scoring wins last week, but the under is our first choice. Both offenses lean on the run, with Tampa Bay averaging 144.6 rushing yards per game and Atlanta built around Robinson, and both defenses are elite at stopping it.
This is also a divisional game between two teams that know each other well. Both were underdogs last weekend with nothing to lose, but with both sitting below .500, this one carries real pressure. If neither side can establish the run, the game falls on Mayfield and Michael Penix Jr., and both quarterbacks have been prone to mistakes when asked to carry the offense. That points to stalled drives and a final score under 46.5.
On the side, home field gives Tampa Bay the edge in a tight divisional game. With Mayfield back under center and Raymond James Stadium behind them, the Bucs should find a way to win, and at -2.5, a field goal margin is enough to cover.
- Best bet: Under 46.5
- Falcons vs Buccaneers pick against the spread: Buccaneers -2.5
- Falcons vs Buccaneers straight-up pick: Buccaneers (-135)
How to bet on the Falcons vs Buccaneers (Week 8)
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