Expert prediction
New England Patriots 2023-24 NFL Playoff Odds and Prediction
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- The Patriots finished 8-9 last season, missing the playoffs.
- It was the 2nd time in the last 3 years they finished below .500.
- New England may be fighting to avoid a last place finish this season.
As the 2023-24 NFL season approaches, let’s take a look at the New England Patriots’ playoff odds and weigh their chances of making the postseason this year. They’ll aim to stay afloat in a very tough division.
Playoff Odds
Historical odds are unavailable. The original analysis is preserved.Team News
The Patriots continue to work their way through the difficult post-Tom Brady era. After winning 10 or more games every season since 2003 under Brady, New England has gone just 25-25 over the past 3 seasons. They went 7-9 in the one year with Cam Newton at QB, before having a solid 10-7 year with rookie Mac Jones at the helm. Unfortunately, they regressed back to 8-9 last season, missing the playoffs again.
No one on the Patriots regressed more last year than Mac Jones did. He finished 28th of 31 QBs in QBR, ranking ahead of only Mayfield, Wentz, and Mills. His final numbers on the season were 65% completion for just under 3,000 yards, 14 TDs, and 11 INTs, good for an 84.8 passer rating. New England will need to figure out this season if Mac Jones just had a sophomore slump or if they need to do more QB shopping.
Prediction
The Patriots had a disappointing season last year, but are unlikely to repeat the same mistakes under head coach Bill Belichick. The problem is that the entire AFC East has gotten much tougher. Even if Mac Jones and New England are able to return to 2021’s level of success, they still might miss the playoffs. It’s hard to imagine a world where they finish last in the division after the Brady era, but it just may happen this year.
- No ()
NFL
More Predictions
NFL Week 9 Upsets: Commanders Nasty Underdogs, Cardinals and Raiders Defending the Spread
Week 9 of the 2026 NFL season features several situational spots where short underdogs hold tactical, scheduling, or matchup advantages. There aren’t as many choices as in previous rounds, but there’s still enough for us bettors to make some money. Here is one straight-up upset pick and two point-spread underdog picks, backed by key tactical […]
NFL Week 9 Player Props: Pitts to Score a TD, Flournoy Continues to Grow
NFL Week 9 player props are here. We’ve waited to see the situation regarding potential absences and injuries, and with game day just around the corner, it was time to unleash the best player prop picks for this round. We have three selections for our bettors, carefully picked and evaluated following a thorough process. After […]
Broncos vs. Panthers Week 9 Picks: Young’s Poor Protection Will Cost Carolina
Best bet: Broncos ATS pick: Broncos -2.5 Bet Broncos vs. Panthers at BetUS Denver Broncos (6-2) hit the road to face the Carolina Panthers (3-4) and continue their excellent run. The Panthers have been on the downhill lately and are under pressure to win this game and get back to the winning side. Stay with […]
Giants vs. Eagles Week 9 Picks: Rested Giants After a Win in Philly
Best bet: Giants ATS pick: Giants -3.5 Bet Giants vs. Eagles at BetUS NFC East is completely wild these days. The New York Giants (4-2-1) lead the group, while the Philadelphia Eagles (2-6) sit last. The home team is in huge trouble, having multiple stars out due to injuries. The Giants also have some absences, […]
Browns vs. Saints Week 9 Picks: Indoor Arena Will Create Problems for Cleveland
Best bet: Saints -1.5 Straight up pick: Saints moneyline Bet Cardinals vs Cowboys at BetUS Cleveland Browns (5-3) are still in the mix for the playoffs. However, they will need to win in New Orleans against the Saints (2-5). Browns are very light underdogs here, sitting at +100 before we started writing this article. We […]