Expert prediction
NFL Most Passing Touchdowns Outright Odds 2025
Pick rationale
Analysis & key factors
- NFL most passing touchdowns odds favor Joe Burrow at +550
- Baker Mayfield comes next at +1000.
- Patrick Mahomes and Jarred Goff are +1000.
Joe Burrow had the most passing touchdowns in the 2024 campaign. According to NFL odds, Cincinnati Bengals’ QB is the top contender to once again lead the league in this category. On this link you can find more information and odds for other NFL stats leaders outrights.
NFL Most Passing Touchdowns Odds
NFL Most Passing Touchdowns Contenders
Burrow had 43 touchdowns last year in 17 games played. The reason he has the best chances to lead the league again is that the Bengals have an extraordinary receiving corps, and their offense is heavily focused on passing.
Tampa Bay’s Baker Mayfield and Detroit’s Jared Godd are also in the mix.
Apart from establishing himself as the No.1 WR in Florida, Mayfield established a great connection with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. And when you have these two guys, that’s a massive advantage over the defense. Goff already has a very good core among wide receivers, and the Lions got several more additions in the draft. So Goff will have plenty of targets.
Mahomes was the league leader in passing touchdowns twice before, including a remarkable 50 touchdowns in the 2018 season. He had only 26 passing touchdowns in 2024 and is bound to bounce back.
What About Jordan Love and Tua Tagovailoa?
The Packers QB is +2000 to lead the NFL in passing touchdowns. He has a pretty decent offense, and the Packers are loaded with receivers, some of them coming fresh out of college with a good pedigree.
Tua Tagovailoa not only plays with Tyreek Hill, but Jaylen Waddle as well. He also has what it takes to throw 40+ TDs this year. However, he needs to stay healthy all the time. Don’t forget, Tua was the league leader in passing yards in 2023.
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