Skip to content

Expert prediction

NFL Predictions, Odds: Cowboys vs. Texans Preview & Picks (Oct 4)

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • Sep 28, 2026 at 10:53 AM EDT

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Cowboys vs. Texans odds favor Houston at -135.
  • Texans average only 84.7 rushing yards per game.
  • Meanwhile, the Cowboys are the 2nd-worst run defense with 179.7 ypg.

The Texas derby brings us the Cowboys and the Texans far from where we expected them to be at this stage. Both teams have a negative record, and the pressure ahead of this event is massive.

You can view the full slate of NFL Week 4 lines and odds here.

Cowboys vs. Texans Week 4 Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotals
Cowboys+115+2.547.5
Texans-135-2.547.5

Cowboys vs. Texans Prediction – Dallas Cowboys

Expert NFL Pick:

I’ll take the Cowboys to win here. Yes, this is risky, but hear me out.

The Cowboys have one of the worst defenses in the league, allowing 387 yards from scrimmage per game. But on the other hand, they will face a very unstable CJ Stroud who is under huge pressure. Not only on the field, where he has already suffered 10 sacks, but also in the public eye.

Dallas has a very potent attack that can score 25+ points against any given team in the league, no matter the opposing defense. Yes they lost against the Ravens last weekend, but that’s because of the fact that they had one of the best NFL offenses across the field. Both teams played to outscore the rivals, and in the end, Dallas came out empty-handed.

This isn’t going to happen in Sunday’s event, because the Texans struggle to score. If their rivals score 25 points, defeat is almost certain. I’m not underestimating Stroud. I simply think that he’s in a big crisis now, and that the whole team will suffer for a while. Once the Cowboys start and get their thing going, I’m sure that the Texans won’t have a suitable response.

  • SJ Stroud is in crisis, throwing only 3 TDs and suffering 10 sacks.
  • Dallas has the 7th NFL scoring offense, 29.3 points.
  • Texans are under huge pressure.

How to bet on the Cowboys vs. Texans (Week 4)

These are the best sportsbooks for US bettors to place wagers on the Week 4 NFL matchup between the Cowboys and the Texans.

Sportsbook ratings

1

BetOnline

Our rating 9.8/10

RegionsAustraliaCanadaUnited States

No Strings Welcome Offer50% up to $250

Minimum deposit$10 Crypto

2

BetUS

Our rating 9.8/10

RegionsCanadaUnited States

Welcome Bonus125% up to $2500

Minimum deposit$100

3

Lucky Rebel

Our rating 9.6/10

RegionsCanadaUnited States

Welcome Bonus125% Free + 50 Free Spins

Minimum deposit$50

Click on any sportsbook above to sign up. Once

Topics:

NFL

More Predictions

NFL Insight

NFL Week 9 Upsets: Commanders Nasty Underdogs, Cardinals and Raiders Defending the Spread

Week 9 of the 2026 NFL season features several situational spots where short underdogs hold tactical, scheduling, or matchup advantages. There aren’t as many choices as in previous rounds, but there’s still enough for us bettors to make some money. Here is one straight-up upset pick and two point-spread underdog picks, backed by key tactical […]

Nikola Velickovic 3 min read

NFL Insight

NFL Week 9 Player Props: Pitts to Score a TD, Flournoy Continues to Grow

NFL Week 9 player props are here. We’ve waited to see the situation regarding potential absences and injuries, and with game day just around the corner, it was time to unleash the best player prop picks for this round. We have three selections for our bettors, carefully picked and evaluated following a thorough process. After […]

Nikola Velickovic 2 min read

NFL Insight

Broncos vs. Panthers Week 9 Picks: Young’s Poor Protection Will Cost Carolina

Best bet: Broncos ATS pick: Broncos -2.5 Bet Broncos vs. Panthers at BetUS Denver Broncos (6-2) hit the road to face the Carolina Panthers (3-4) and continue their excellent run. The Panthers have been on the downhill lately and are under pressure to win this game and get back to the winning side. Stay with […]

Nikola Velickovic 2 min read

NFL Insight

Giants vs. Eagles Week 9 Picks: Rested Giants After a Win in Philly

Best bet: Giants ATS pick: Giants -3.5 Bet Giants vs. Eagles at BetUS NFC East is completely wild these days. The New York Giants (4-2-1) lead the group, while the Philadelphia Eagles (2-6) sit last. The home team is in huge trouble, having multiple stars out due to injuries. The Giants also have some absences, […]

Nikola Velickovic 2 min read

NFL Insight

Browns vs. Saints Week 9 Picks: Indoor Arena Will Create Problems for Cleveland

Best bet: Saints -1.5 Straight up pick: Saints moneyline Bet Cardinals vs Cowboys at BetUS Cleveland Browns (5-3) are still in the mix for the playoffs. However, they will need to win in New Orleans against the Saints (2-5). Browns are very light underdogs here, sitting at +100 before we started writing this article. We […]

Nikola Velickovic 2 min read