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Expert prediction

NFL Week 11: Washington Commanders vs. Miami Dolphins Preview, Odds, Picks (Nov 16)

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • Nov 10, 2025 at 3:29 AM EST

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Commanders vs. Dolphins game will take place in Madrid.
  • Miami Dolphins rolled over Buffalo Bills, 30-13.
  • The Commanders have 5 losses in a row.

The battle between the Commanders and the Dolphins features two teams from different conferences with the same record, 3-7. A loss here would mean that the playoffs are gone for sure.

How to Watch

  • When: Sunday, November 16, 9:30 am ET
  • Where: Santiago Bernabeu, Madrid, Spain
  • How to Watch: NFL+, NFL Net

Commanders vs. Dolphins Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotals
Commanders+115+2.547.5
Dolphins-135-2.547.5

Game Preview

Without Jayden Daniels, the Commanders look beheaded. They can’t get the offense going, which forces the defense to be on the field for too long before the fatigue eventually kicks in. Their previous game was a disaster, as they lost to the Lions at home, 44-22.

Against the Lions, the defenders didn’t register a single sack, and they also didn’t record a single quarterback hit. That’s why Jared Goff felt safe and secure, and bombed Washington’s backfield with three touchdown passes.

To be honest, we didn’t see the Fins beating the Bills coming. It was 30-13 for Tua and the boys, who blitzed Buffalo early on, took a nice lead, and then rebuffed all the rival’s attempts to get back into the game.

Tua had 173 passing yards with two touchdown passes but two interceptions as well, and he simply can’t stabilize this year. However, the fortunate thing for him was that he had RB De’Von Achane, who ran 22 times for an incredible 174 yards and two touchdowns.

Commanders vs. Dolphins Head to Head

After 16 games in the all-time series, the Fins lead 10-6. Last one was in 2023, when Miami won 45-15 on the road.

Commanders vs. Dolphins Predictions

This is a nice chance for the Fins to win. The Commanders have lost 5 games in a row, and their defense is terrible, which will, for one, suit Tua not being under pressure, and two, be an excellent opportunity for Achane, whose form is on a sharp rise.

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