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Expert prediction

NFL Week 17: LA Rams vs. Atlanta Falcons Preview, Odds, Picks (Dec 29)

  • Nikola Velickovic
  • Dec 25, 2025 at 4:28 AM EST

Pick rationale

Analysis & key factors

  • Rams vs. Falcons total is 49.5 points.
  • The LA Rams are huge favorites at -470.
  • TOTAL went OVER in 6 of Atlanta’s last 8 games.

The LA Rams are still in contention to win the NFC West and secure the NFC No.1 seed. Atlanta, meanwhile, increased its form compared to the start of the year, but still stalls a lot.

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How to Watch

  • When: Monday, December 29, 4:15 pm ET
  • Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia
  • How to Watch: ESPN

Rams vs. Falcons Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotals
Rams-470-7.549.5
Falcons+360+7.549.5

Game Preview

The Rams lost to the Seahawks last weekend, 38-37 after overtime, and that defeat allowed Seattle to jump them over and take the top of the division and the conference. However, this unit is still the biggest contender for the Super Bowl.

Matt Stafford leads the top offense in the NFL, scoring 30.5 points per game, and he alone is the leading favorite to clinch the NFL MVP award. He won’t have Davante Adams in this game due to an injury, and that’s a big blow, because Adams leads the league with 14 receiving touchdowns.

Falcons have back-to-back triumphs, both on the road, against the Buccaneers and the Cardinals. If they played like this all season, Pitts and the guys would be in the playoffs now.

In a 26-19 triumph over the Cardinals, we saw Kirk Cousins throwing 197 passing yards, two touchdowns, one interception, and also, him making a fumble and rushing for a TD. Bijan Robinson had 79 rushing and 92 receiving yards with one caught TD pass.

Rams vs. Falcons Head to Head

Rams lead the series, 49-30-2, and the last meeting was in 2022, when LA won, 31-27.

Rams vs. Falcons Predictions

We pick the Rams to win because they are a better and more consistent team. Though we wouldn’t meddle with the spread, because the Falcons can be nasty.

Free NFL Picks: Rams

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